Merrimack vs LIU Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, March 1, 2023

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The Long Island Sharks (3-25, 1-15 NEC) will attempt to snap a four-game road losing skid at the Merrimack Warriors (15-16, 12-4 NEC) on Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET.

Wednesday’s matchup between the Warriors and the Sharks sees the Warriors as a major, 17.5-point favorite. The over/under is 133.5 points for the matchup.

Merrimack vs. LIU Odds

Point Spread for Merrimack vs. LIU

The spread for this matchup is set at 17.5 points, with bookmakers listing Merrimack as the favorite.

Merrimack vs. LIU Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Merrimack has -2400 odds to pick up the win, while LIU is listed at +1138 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 133.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NEC Front Row
  • Location: North Andover, Massachusetts
  • Arena: Hammel Court

Merrimack vs. LIU Betting Trends

Merrimack has 14 wins against the spread in 29 games this year. The Warriors have won in nine, or 69.2%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Merrimack’s games this year have gone over the point total 34.6% of the time (nine out of 26 games with a set point total).

LIU is 7-18-1 against the spread this year. The Sharks have won one of the 23 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (4.3%). LIU’s games this season have hit the over on 12 of 26 set point totals (46.2%).

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Merrimack vs. LIU Key Players to Watch


Jordan Minor posts 17.4 points and 9.5 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also posting 2.3 assists, shooting 51.9% from the floor. Ziggy Reid averages 13.3 points, 4 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 42.2% from the field and 32.6% from downtown with 1.5 made 3-pointers per game. Javon Bennett averages a team-best 3.3 assists per game. He is also averaging 8.8 points and 1.8 rebounds, shooting 33.6% from the field and 25.7% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Jordan Derkack is putting up 7.5 points, 2.7 assists and 3.8 rebounds per contest.


Jacob Johnson is No. 1 on the Sharks in rebounding (5.7 per game), and puts up 10.2 points and 1.8 assists. He also delivers 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. R.J. Greene is posting a team-best 3.7 assists per contest. He’s also delivering 8.9 points and 4 rebounds, hitting 39.7% of his shots from the field. Marko Maletic is putting up a team-high 15.9 points per game. And he is contributing 3.1 rebounds and 1 assists, sinking 43.2% of his shots from the field, and 38.8% from 3-point distance resulting in 2.9 triples per game. C.J. Delancy gets the Sharks 5.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 0.7 assists per contest. He also averages 0.4 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Merrimack Warriors

Merrimack’s NEC games have hit the over seven out of 16 times this season. Although the Warriors are scoring just 61.3 points per game (fourth-worst in college basketball), their defense has been giving them a nice lift, as they rank 17th-best in college basketball by allowing 61.8 points per game. In terms of rebounding, Merrimack is getting beat at both ends of the court, as it ranks -4-worst in college basketball in rebounds (26.2 per game) and 13th-worst in rebounds allowed (34.5 per contest).

The Warriors post 62.3 points per game when playing at home, compared to 60.9 points per game in road games, a difference of 1.4 points per contest. Merrimack is 185th in college basketball with 7.4 threes per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 296th with a 32.1% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Warriors rank 30th in the country with 5.9 treys allowed per game this year. Meanwhile, they rank 78th with a 32.1% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Warriors have gone 9-1 in their last 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Merrimack has hit the over seven times. In its last 10 games, Merrimack has been putting up 69.6 points per contest, an average that’s significantly higher than the 61.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Merrimack has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 60.2 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 61.8 it has conceded per game this season.

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What you need to know about the Long Island Sharks

LIU has won four games against the spread this year in conference play, while failing to cover or pushing 12 times. On offense the Sharks are the 314th-ranked team in college basketball (66.4 points per game). On defense they are fourth-worst (79.6 points conceded per game). LIU is 244th in the nation in rebounds per game (30.8) and 10th-worst in rebounds allowed (34.8).

At home, the Sharks average 72 points per game. Away, they score 63.4. Beyond the arc, LIU is ninth-worst in the country in 3-pointers made per game (5). It is ranked 172nd in 3-point percentage at 34.5%. In 2022-23, the Sharks are 252nd in the country in 3-pointers conceded (7.8 per game) and 288th in defensive 3-point percentage (35.5%).

The Sharks are 3-7 against the spread and 1-9 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, LIU has hit the over four times. While LIU is averaging 66.4 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its last 10 games, tallying 62.6 points per contest. Over their past 10 games, the Sharks are surrendering 73.4 points per contest, compared to their season average of 79.6 points allowed.

Merrimack vs. LIU Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Merrimack, and we project that LIU will cover the spread (Merrimack -17.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133.5 points.

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How to bet Merrimack vs. LIU

You can bet on Merrimack vs. LIU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Merrimack vs. LIU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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