Memphis vs UCF Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Memphis Tigers (23-8, 13-5 AAC) are squaring off against the No. 7 seed UCF Knights (18-13, 8-10 AAC) in the AAC Tournament on Friday at Dickies Arena. The matchup is scheduled for 7:00 PM.

The Tigers face the Knights in a game that Memphis is currently a favorite by 5.5 points. The game’s over/under is 143.5.

Memphis vs. UCF Odds

Point Spread for Memphis vs. UCF

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Memphis as the favorite.

Memphis vs. UCF Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Memphis has -233 odds to pick up the win, while UCF is listed at +191 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 143.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Arena: Dickies Arena

Memphis vs. UCF Betting Trends

Against the spread, Memphis is 14-15-2 this season. The Tigers have come away with 20 wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Memphis’ games this year have gone over the point total 54.8% of the time (17 out of 31 games with a set point total).

UCF is 15-15-1 against the spread this year. The Knights have gone 4-7 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 36.4% of those games). UCF’s games this season have hit the over on 18 of 31 set point totals (58.1%).

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Memphis vs. UCF Key Players to Watch

Memphis

DeAndre Williams paces his squad in rebounds per contest (7.6), and also puts up 17 points and 2.9 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals and 1 block. Elijah McCadden averages 7.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 56.4% from the field. Chandler Lawson is putting up 5 points, 0.7 assists and 4.6 rebounds per contest.

UCF

Taylor Hendricks is No. 1 on the Knights in scoring (15.6 points per game) and rebounding (6.8), and posts 1.5 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 1.6 blocked shots. The Knights get 12.7 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from CJ Kelly. Ithiel Horton gives the Knights 12.5 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He also delivers 1.4 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Darius Johnson leads the Knights in assists (4.4 per game), and posts 10.1 points and 2.9 rebounds. He also puts up 2.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Memphis Tigers

So far this season, nine out of Memphis’ 18 AAC games have gone over the point total. The Tigers have been carried by their offense, as they rank 23rd-best in the nation by scoring 79.5 points per game. They rank 255th in college basketball in points allowed (72.6 per contest). Memphis is pulling down 31.9 boards per game (174th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 30.9 rebounds per contest (171st-ranked).

Memphis is draining 5.8 threes per game (324th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while owning a 34.4% three-point percentage (171st-ranked). With 8.1 threes conceded per game, the Tigers are 286th in the nation. They are allowing a 31.4% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 54th in college basketball.

The Tigers are 5-4-1 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 games. Memphis has gone over the total in four of its last 10 contests. Memphis’ offense has been worse over its last 10 games, racking up 78.7 points a contest compared to the 79.5 it has averaged this season. Memphis has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 73.1 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 72.6 points per game its opponents average on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the UCF Knights

UCF has won eight games against the spread this year in conference action, while failing to cover or pushing 11 times. The Knights put up 72.1 points per game and give up 65.5, making them 169th in college basketball on offense and 54th on defense. UCF grabs 31.1 rebounds per game and give up 29.3 boards, ranking 228th and 75th, respectively, in the country.

Beyond the arc, UCF is 41st in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8.9). It is 76th in 3-point percentage at 36.1%. Defensively, the Knights are 82nd in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.5. They are 36th in 3-point percentage allowed at 30.9%.

The Knights are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games. UCF has gone over the total in six of its past 10 contests. UCF is averaging 72.4 points per contest in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 72.1. Over their past 10 games, the Knights are giving up 64.5 points per contest, one fewer point than their season average (65.5).

Memphis vs. UCF Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Memphis, and we project that UCF will cover the spread (Memphis -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 143.5 points.

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How to bet Memphis vs. UCF

You can bet on Memphis vs. UCF at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Memphis vs. UCF picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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