Marshall vs Texas State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Marshall Thundering Herd (24-7, 13-5 Sun Belt) are squaring off against the No. 11 seed Texas State Bobcats (15-18, 6-12 Sun Belt) in the Sun Belt Tournament on Saturday at Pensacola Bay Center. The contest is scheduled for 6:00 PM.

The Thundering Herd are currently solid 8-point favorites over the Bobcats. A 146.5-point total has been set for the game.

Marshall vs. Texas State Odds

Point Spread for Marshall vs. Texas State

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with sportsbooks listing Marshall as the favorite.

Marshall vs. Texas State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Marshall has -365 odds to pick up the win, while Texas State is listed at +289 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 146.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Pensacola, Florida
  • Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Marshall vs. Texas State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Marshall is 19-11-0 this season. The Thundering Herd have been favorites in 27 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (77.8%) in those contests. Marshall’s games this year have gone over the total in 16 out of 30 opportunities (53.3%).

In Texas State’s 30 games this season, it has 11 wins against the spread. The Bobcats have won six of the 18 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%). Texas State’s games this season have hit the over 18 times in 30 opportunities (60%).

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Marshall vs. Texas State Key Players to Watch


Andrew Taylor posts 20.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists per contest, shooting 41.8% from the field and 35.9% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest. Micah Handlogten is tops on the Thundering Herd at 9.9 rebounds per game, while also averaging 1.2 assists and 7.7 points. Obinna Anochili-Killen puts up 8.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 1.4 blocked shots.

Texas State

Tyler Morgan is averaging a team-high 6.2 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 8.9 points and 1.5 assists, making 46.8% of his shots from the floor. Nighael Ceaser is posting 9.5 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game, making 50.9% of his shots from the field. Nate Martin gets the Bobcats 8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game. He also posts 0.4 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Marshall Thundering Herd

So far this season, 11 out of Marshall’s 18 Sun Belt games have hit the over. The Thundering Herd are allowing 71.3 points per game this year (217th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really played well on offense, posting 82.2 points per contest (10th-best). Although Marshall is allowing 35.4 rebounds per game (fifth-worst in college basketball), it ranks 25th-best in college basketball by amassing 35.5 rebounds per contest.

With 8.2 threes per game, Marshall is 89th in the nation. It sports a 33.5% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 226th in college basketball. So far this season, the Thundering Herd are allowing 6.9 three-pointers per game (138th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 31.9% (65th-ranked) from downtown.

The Thundering Herd have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Marshall has gone over the total seven times. Marshall has seen an uptick in scoring recently, racking up 82.9 points per game in its last 10 contests, 0.7 points more than the 82.2 it has scored this year. The past 10 games have seen Marshall allow 3.9 more points per game (75.2) than its season-long average (71.3).

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What you need to know about the Texas State Bobcats

Texas State has won seven games against the spread this year in conference action, while failing to cover or pushing 13 times. At 66.1 points scored per game and 66.7 points allowed, the Bobcats are 319th in the country offensively and 79th defensively. In 2022-23, Texas State is 274th in the nation in rebounds (30.1 per game) and 27th in rebounds conceded (28).

Texas State is the -2-worst squad in college basketball in 3-pointers made (4.4 per game) and 20th-worst in 3-point percentage (30.7%). Giving up 6.1 3-pointers per game and conceding 35.8% from beyond the arc, the Bobcats are 42nd and 301st in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Bobcats are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 games. Texas State has hit the over in nine of its last 10 contests. Texas State has fared better offensively over its last 10 games, generating 69.6 points per contest, 3.5 more than its season average of 66.1. The Bobcats have performed worse defensively over their last 10 games, ceding 70.6 points per contest, 3.9 more points their than season average of 66.7.

Marshall vs. Texas State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Marshall, and we expect that Marshall will cover the spread (Marshall -8). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 146.5 points.

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How to bet Marshall vs. Texas State

You can bet on Marshall vs. Texas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Marshall vs. Texas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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