Marquette vs Xavier Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Marquette Golden Eagles (27-6, 17-3 Big East) square off against the No. 2 Xavier Musketeers (25-8, 15-5 Big East) in the championship game of the Big East tournament on Saturday at 6:30 PM. The winner will earn an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Saturday’s matchup between the Golden Eagles and the Musketeers features a slim line of Marquette -2. The game’s point total is 154.

Marquette vs. Xavier Odds

Point Spread for Marquette vs. Xavier

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing Marquette as the favorite.

Marquette vs. Xavier Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Marquette has -137 odds to pick up the win, while Xavier is listed at +116 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 154 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

Marquette vs. Xavier Betting Trends

Marquette has 21 wins against the spread in 33 games this season. The Golden Eagles have been chosen as favorites in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (91.7%) in those games. Marquette’s games this year have hit the over on 17 of 33 set point totals.

In Xavier’s 33 games this season, it has 18 wins against the spread. The Musketeers have compiled a 5-5 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games). Xavier’s games this year have hit the over on 21 of 33 set point totals (63.6%).

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Marquette vs. Xavier Key Players to Watch

Marquette

Tyler Kolek paces the Golden Eagles at 7.8 assists per contest, while also averaging 4.1 rebounds and 13.1 points. He is second in college basketball in assists. Oso Ighodaro posts a team-leading 5.8 rebounds per game. In addition, he’s posting 11.7 points and 3.2 assists, shooting 65.7% from the floor. Kam Jones is tops on the Golden Eagles with 15.1 points per game and 2 assists, while also averaging 3.5 rebounds. Olivier-Maxence Prosper posts 12.5 points, 4.7 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game, shooting 52.2% from the field and 33.7% from beyond the arc with 1 made 3-pointers per contest.

Xavier

Jack Nunge is the Musketeers’ top rebounder (7.8 per game), and he produces 14.4 points and 2.1 assists. The Musketeers receive 15.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game from Colby Jones. Zach Freemantle gives the Musketeers 15.2 points, 8.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Marquette Golden Eagles

A total of 11 out of Marquette’s 22 Big East games this season have hit the over. The Golden Eagles sport a top-25 offense this season, ranking 18th-best in college basketball with 80.4 points per game. At the other end, they rank 213th with 71.2 points allowed per contest. Marquette is grabbing just 28.3 boards per game (25th-worst in college basketball), and it is allowing 32.5 rebounds per contest (276th-ranked).

With 8.9 threes per game, Marquette ranks 40th in the country. It has a 35.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 126th in college basketball. The Golden Eagles rank 242nd in college basketball with 7.7 three-pointers allowed per game so far this year. Meanwhile, they rank 288th with a 35.5% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Golden Eagles have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Marquette has hit the over in four of its past 10 games. On the offensive side of the ball, Marquette has had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 76.3 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 80.4 it has racked up over the course of this season. Marquette’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 72.5 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 71.2 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Xavier Musketeers

Xavier and its opponents have combined to hit the over 12 out of 22 times this year in Big East play. Offensively, the Musketeers are the seventh-best squad in the country (82.3 points per game). On defense, they are 298th (74.3 points conceded per game). In 2022-23, Xavier is 40th in the nation in rebounds (34.7 per game) and 53rd in rebounds conceded (28.8).

In 2022-23 Xavier is 154th in the country in 3-point makes (7.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (40%). The Musketeers give up 7.5 3-pointers per game and concede 36.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 214th and 317th, respectively, in the nation.

The Musketeers are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Xavier has hit the over five times. Xavier has fared worse offensively over its last 10 games, averaging 80.1 points per contest, 2.2 fewer points its than season average of 82.3. The Musketeers have performed better defensively in their previous 10 games, ceding 70 points per contest, 4.3 fewer points than their season average of 74.3 allowed.

Marquette vs. Xavier Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Marquette, and we predict that Xavier will cover the spread (Marquette -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 154 points.

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How to bet Marquette vs. Xavier

You can bet on Marquette vs. Xavier at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Marquette vs. Xavier picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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