Long Beach State vs Cal Poly Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, March 7, 2023

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The No. 7 seed Long Beach State Beach (17-15, 11-9 Big West) will meet the No. 10 seed Cal Poly Mustangs (7-24, 1-18 Big West) in the Big West Tournament Tuesday at Dollar Loan Center, beginning at 11:30 PM.

Long Beach State is a solid 9-point favorite against Cal Poly when the Beach face off against the Mustangs on Tuesday. The point total for the game is set at 136.5.

Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Odds

Point Spread for Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly

The spread for this matchup is set at 9 points, with oddsmakers listing Long Beach State as the favorite.

Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Long Beach State has -467 odds to pick up the win, while Cal Poly is listed at +351 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 136.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Henderson, Nevada
  • Arena: Dollar Loan Center

Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Betting Trends

Long Beach State has 13 wins against the spread in 30 games this season. The Beach have come away with 13 wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Long Beach State’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 29 set point totals.

In Cal Poly’s 29 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread. The Mustangs have won two of the 22 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (9.1%). Cal Poly’s games this season have gone over the total in 10 of 29 opportunities (34.5%).

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Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Key Players to Watch

Long Beach State

Lassina Traore paces the Beach at 10.6 rebounds per game, while also putting up 1.1 assists and 13 points. Aboubacar Traore paces his team in assists per contest (3.5), and also averages 10.2 points and 8.9 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Marcus Tsohonis puts up 14.4 points and 2 assists per contest — both team highs. He is also putting up 3.4 rebounds, shooting 39.5% from the field and 26.7% from downtown with 1 made 3-pointers per contest. Jadon Jones averages 8.3 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.7 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

Cal Poly

The Mustangs receive points, 2 rebounds and assists per game from Noah Pick. Brantly Stevenson gives the Mustangs 10.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. He also posts 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Alimamy Koroma is averaging team highs in points (10.6 per game) and assists (0.4). And he is contributing 4.2 rebounds, making 46.8% of his shots from the floor. Trevon Taylor is the Mustangs’ top rebounder (4.9 per game), and he averages 8.4 points and 1.1 assists.

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What you need to know about the Long Beach State Beach

Long Beach State’s Big West games have hit the over 11 out of 20 times this season. Offensively, the Beach are averaging 76.8 points per game (58th-ranked in college basketball). They are ceding 74 points per contest at the other end (294th-ranked). Long Beach State is allowing 31.6 rebounds per game this year (212th-ranked in college basketball), but it has shined by pulling down 37.7 rebounds per contest (second-best).

When it comes to three-pointers, Long Beach State is struggling, as it ranks -2-worst in college basketball in threes made (4.4 per game) and eighth-worst in three-point percentage (29.6%). This year, the Beach are allowing 8.3 treys per game (305th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 33.2% (138th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Beach have gone 5-5 in their past 10 games, with a 5-4-1 record against the spread in that span. Long Beach State has gone over the total in six of its past 10 outings. In its last 10 games, Long Beach State has been putting up 77 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 76.8 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen Long Beach State concede 1.3 more points per game (75.3) than its season-long average (74).

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What you need to know about the Cal Poly Mustangs

A total of seven Cal Poly conference games this year have gone over the point total. In 2022-23, the Mustangs are -1-worst in college basketball offensively (60.1 points scored per game) and 60th defensively (65.9 points allowed). In 2022-23, Cal Poly is 326th in the nation in rebounds (28.6 per game) and 45th in rebounds conceded (28.6).

Cal Poly is the 21st-worst team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (5.5 per game) and worst in 3-point percentage (29.1%). The Mustangs give up 6.4 3-pointers per game and concede 34.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 75th and 224th, respectively, in the country.

The Mustangs are 5-5 against the spread and 0-10 overall over their last 10 contests. Five of Cal Poly’s past 10 games have gone over the total. While Cal Poly is posting 60.1 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its previous 10 games, amassing 56.5 points per contest. The Mustangs have performed worse defensively over their past 10 games, allowing 66.4 points per contest, 0.5 more points their than season average of 65.9.

Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Long Beach State, and we expect that Cal Poly will cover the spread (Long Beach State -9). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 136.5 points.

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How to bet Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly

You can bet on Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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