Liberty vs Kennesaw State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Liberty Flames (26-7, 15-3 ASUN) is set to square off against the top-seeded Kennesaw State Owls (25-8, 15-3 ASUN) in the ASUN Tournament Championship with an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on the line. The game on Sunday at KSU Convocation Center tips off at 3:00 PM.

The Flames are currently 5.5-point favorites against the Owls. The game has a point total of 138.5.

Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Odds

Point Spread for Liberty vs. Kennesaw State

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Liberty as the favorite.

Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Liberty has -245 odds to pick up the win, while Kennesaw State is listed at +200 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Kennesaw, Georgia
  • Arena: KSU Convocation Center

Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Liberty is 18-13-0 this year. The Flames have been chosen as favorites in 27 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (85.2%) in those games. Liberty has gone over the point total in 50% of its opportunities this year (15 times over 30 games with a set point total).

Kennesaw State has 20 wins against the spread in 30 games this year. The Owls are 6-6 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games). Kennesaw State’s games this season have gone over the point total 17 times in 30 opportunities (56.7%).

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Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Key Players to Watch


Darius McGhee posts a team-leading 22.7 points per contest. He is also posting 3.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists, shooting 44.6% from the field and 41% from beyond the arc with 4.6 made 3-pointers per contest (second in college basketball). Kyle Rode is posting 10.6 points, 3.6 assists and 3.6 rebounds per contest. Colin Porter posts a team-high 3.8 assists per game. He is also putting up 7.8 points and 2.4 rebounds, shooting 42.2% from the field and 40.5% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game. Blake Preston is tops on his squad in rebounds per game (5.2), and also posts 6.9 points and 1.4 assists. Defensively, he posts 0.5 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Kennesaw State

Chris Youngblood tops the Owls in scoring (14.6 points per game) and assists (1.9), and averages 4.8 rebounds. He also posts 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Terrell Burden is putting up a team-high 4.2 assists per contest. He’s also contributing 13.3 points and 3.1 rebounds, hitting 48.3% of his shots from the field. Brandon Stroud is the Owls’ top rebounder (6.5 per game), and he delivers 9.2 points and 1.7 assists. Demond Robinson gives the Owls 11.1 points, 5.6 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Liberty Flames

Liberty’s ASUN games have hit the over nine out of 20 times this season. The Flames have been lifted by their defense, as they rank ninth-best in the nation by allowing only 60.5 points per game. They rank 88th in college basketball in points scored (75.5 per contest). With 26.8 rebounds allowed per game, Liberty ranks 11th-best in college basketball. It ranks 245th in college basketball by grabbing 30.8 boards per contest.

The Flames are putting up 79.6 points per game this year at home, which is eight more points than they’re averaging away from home (71.6). Liberty has been getting things done in terms of three-point shooting this year, ranking fifth-best in college basketball in threes per game (10.7) and 18th-best in three-point percentage (38%). With 6.6 threes conceded per game, the Flames rank 98th in college basketball. They are allowing a 34.8% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 247th in college basketball.

The Flames have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Liberty has hit the over in seven of its past 10 outings. In its last 10 games, Liberty has been racking up 77.2 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 75.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Liberty’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 66.4 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 60.5 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.

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What you need to know about the Kennesaw State Owls

Kennesaw State has won 13 games against the spread this year in conference play, while failing to cover seven times. The Owls are 88th in college basketball in points scored (75.5 per game) and 142nd in points conceded (69). On the boards, Kennesaw State is 194th in college basketball in rebounds (31.5 per game). It is 138th in rebounds allowed (30.4 per game).

The Owls average 81.3 points per game at home, and 71.2 on the road. Beyond the arc, Kennesaw State is 79th in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (8.3). It is 53rd in 3-point percentage at 36.7%. Defensively, the Owls are 202nd in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 7.4. They are 181st in 3-point percentage conceded at 33.7%.

The Owls have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. Kennesaw State has gone over the total in five of its last 10 games. Kennesaw State has performed worse offensively over its past 10 games, posting 75.4 points per contest, 0.1 fewer points its than season average of 75.5. The Owls have fared worse defensively over their last 10 games, allowing 70.7 points per contest, 1.7 more points their than season average of 69.

Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Liberty, and we predict that Kennesaw State will cover the spread (Liberty -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138.5 points.

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How to bet Liberty vs. Kennesaw State

You can bet on Liberty vs. Kennesaw State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Liberty vs. Kennesaw State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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