Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, March 1, 2023

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The Kentucky Wildcats (20-9, 11-6 SEC) will look to extend a four-game winning run when hosting the Vanderbilt Commodores (16-13, 10-7 SEC) on Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at Rupp Arena. This contest is at 7:00 PM ET on SEC Network.

The Wildcats are currently solid 10-point favorites over the Commodores. A 145.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Point Spread for Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with oddsmakers listing Kentucky as the favorite.

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -550 odds to pick up the win, while Vanderbilt is listed at +403 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 145.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Lexington, Kentucky
  • Arena: Rupp Arena

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Betting Trends

Kentucky has 14 wins against the spread in 29 games this season. The Wildcats have won in 14, or 70%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Kentucky’s games this year have gone over the point total 18 times in 29 opportunities (62.1%).

Vanderbilt has played 29 games, with 15 wins, against the spread. The Commodores have put together a 6-10 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 37.5% of those games). Vanderbilt’s games this season have hit the over on 16 of 29 set point totals (55.2%).

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Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Key Players to Watch


Oscar Tshiebwe averages 16.4 points and 12.8 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also putting up 1.6 assists, shooting 57% from the floor. Cason Wallace is putting up 11.9 points, 4.3 assists and 3.6 rebounds per contest. Jacob Toppin is posting 12.1 points, 2.3 assists and 6.8 rebounds per game. Antonio Reeves posts 13.4 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. At the other end, he puts up 0.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.


Liam Robbins is the Commodores’ top scorer (15.5 points per game) and rebounder (7.1), and averages 1 assists. Ezra Manjon is the Commodores’ top assist man (3.8 per game), and he produces 8.9 points and 2.9 rebounds. Tyrin Lawrence is averaging 11.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, making 46.8% of his shots from the field. Jordan Wright is posting 9.3 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, making 38.5% of his shots from the floor and 30.2% from beyond the arc, with 1 triples per contest.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky and its SEC opponents have combined to go over the point total 11 out of 16 times this season. With 75 points per game on offense, the Wildcats rank 105th in college basketball. Defensively, they surrender 67.2 points per contest, which ranks 93rd in college basketball. Kentucky has been getting things done when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking 21st-best in college basketball in boards per game (35.7) and ninth-best in boards allowed per contest (26.7).

The Wildcats are posting 79.1 points per game when playing at home. Away from home, they are averaging 69.4 points per contest. Kentucky ranks 264th in the nation with 6.6 treys per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 52nd with a 36.8% shooting percentage from three-point land. This season, the Wildcats are giving up 6.4 treys per game (74th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 32.9% (122nd-ranked) from downtown.

The Wildcats have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Kentucky has gone over the total seven times. Kentucky has seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 73 points per game in its last 10 outings, two points fewer than the 75 it has scored this season. Kentucky has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 67.6 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 67.2 it has conceded this season.

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What you need to know about the Vanderbilt Commodores

A total of 10 Vanderbilt conference games this season have hit the over. In 2022-23, the Commodores are 178th in the nation offensively (72 points scored per game) and 239th defensively (71.9 points conceded). In 2022-23, Vanderbilt is 49th in the country in rebounds (34.2 per game) and 282nd in rebounds allowed (32.6).

At home, the Commodores average 71.9 points per game. On the road, they average 73.9. Beyond the arc, Vanderbilt is 68th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (8.4). It is 219th in 3-point percentage at 33.6%. Defensively, the Commodores are 169th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded per game at 7.1. They are 66th in 3-point percentage allowed at 31.9%.

The Commodores are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Vanderbilt has gone over the total five times. Over its last 10 games, Vanderbilt is averaging 69.8 points per game, 2.2 fewer points than its season average (72). The Commodores are allowing 74.3 points per contest in their last 10 games, which is 2.4 more points than they are allowing for the season (71.9).

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Kentucky, and we predict that Vanderbilt will cover the spread (Kentucky -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 145.5 points.

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How to bet Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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