Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, March 10, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Kentucky Wildcats (21-10, 12-6 SEC) will head into the SEC Tournament against the No. 6 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (19-13, 11-7 SEC) on Friday at Bridgestone Arena, starting at 9:30 PM.

Kentucky is a healthy 8.5-point favorite against Vanderbilt when the Wildcats square off with the Commodores on Friday. The game’s over/under is 144.5.

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Point Spread for Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with bookmakers listing Kentucky as the favorite.

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -413 odds to pick up the win, while Vanderbilt is listed at +321 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 144.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Betting Trends

Kentucky has 15 wins against the spread in 31 games this year. The Wildcats have won in 14, or 66.7%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Kentucky’s games this year have gone over the point total 59.4% of the time (19 out of 32 games with a set point total).

Vanderbilt has played 32 games, with 18 wins, against the spread. The Commodores have an 8-10 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.4% of those games). Vanderbilt’s games this season have gone over the total in 18 of 32 opportunities (56.2%).

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Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Key Players to Watch


Oscar Tshiebwe paces the Wildcats with 16.4 points per contest and 13.1 rebounds (first in the country), while also posting 1.6 assists. Jacob Toppin averages 12.3 points, 6.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. Defensively, he puts up 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Cason Wallace is tops on the Wildcats at 4.2 assists per contest, while also posting 3.5 rebounds and 11.7 points. Antonio Reeves is averaging 14.2 points, 1.1 assists and 2 rebounds per game.


Liam Robbins paces the Commodores in scoring (15 points per game) and rebounding (6.8), and posts 1 assists. He also delivers 0.3 steals and 3 blocked shots (third in the nation). Tyrin Lawrence gives the Commodores 12.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Ezra Manjon is putting up a team-high 3.8 assists per contest. And he is delivering 9.3 points and 2.8 rebounds, making 46.5% of his shots from the field. Jordan Wright gives the Commodores 10.3 points, 5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky has put together an 11-7-0 ATS record in conference games so far this year. This year, the Wildcats are putting up 75.1 points per game (100th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 67.6 points per contest (106th-ranked). Kentucky has been thriving when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking 10th-best in college basketball in rebounds per game (36.1) and 11th-best in rebounds allowed per contest (27).

Kentucky is sinking 6.4 treys per game (287th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while owning a 35.9% three-point percentage (89th-ranked). With 6.5 threes conceded per game, the Wildcats are 82nd in college basketball. They are giving up a 32.8% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 112th in college basketball.

The Wildcats have gone 7-3 in their past 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span. Kentucky has gone over the total in seven of its past 10 outings. On the offensive side of the ball, Kentucky has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 74.7 points per contest over that span compared to the 75.1 it has put up over the course of this season. Kentucky has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 69.3 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 67.6 it has surrendered this year.

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What you need to know about the Vanderbilt Commodores

Vanderbilt has compiled a 13-6-0 record against the spread in conference play this season. At 72.2 points scored per game and 71.6 points allowed, the Commodores are 166th in the country on offense and 226th defensively. Vanderbilt is 64th in the nation in rebounds per game (33.7) and 316th in rebounds conceded (33.5).

Vanderbilt makes 8.4 3-pointers per game and shoots 33.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 66th and 202nd, respectively, in the country. Giving up 6.9 3-pointers per game and conceding 31.1% from downtown, the Commodores are 137th and 41st in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Commodores have gone 9-1 in their past 10 games, with an 8-2 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Vanderbilt has hit the over seven times. Vanderbilt is compiling 75.7 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 72.2. In their previous 10 games, the Commodores are surrendering 70.7 points per game, compared to their season average of 71.6 points allowed.

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Kentucky, and we project that Vanderbilt will cover the spread (Kentucky -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 144.5 points.

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How to bet Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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