Kentucky vs Missouri Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, December 28, 2022

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The Missouri Tigers’ (11-1, 0-0 SEC) SEC schedule includes Wednesday’s game against the Kentucky Wildcats (8-3, 0-0 SEC) at Mizzou Arena. It begins at 7:00 PM ET.

Wednesday’s matchup between the Wildcats and the Tigers features the Wildcats as small 3-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 148.5.

Kentucky vs. Missouri Odds

Point Spread for Kentucky vs. Missouri

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing Kentucky as the favorite.

Kentucky vs. Missouri Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -157 odds to pick up the win, while Missouri is listed at +132 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 148.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, December 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Columbia, Missouri
  • Arena: Mizzou Arena

Kentucky vs. Missouri Betting Trends

In the Kentucky’s 11 games this year, it has four wins against the spread. The Wildcats have been victorious in five of the six contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Kentucky’s games this year have hit the over on five of 11 set point totals.

In Missouri’s 11 games this year, it has seven wins against the spread. The Tigers have compiled a 2-1 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games). Missouri’s games this season have gone over the total in seven of 11 opportunities (63.6%).

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Kentucky vs. Missouri Key Players to Watch


Oscar Tshiebwe leads his team in both points (15) and rebounds (13) per game, and also puts up 1.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.7 steals and 1.6 blocked shots. Cason Wallace posts 11.8 points, 3.9 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game, shooting 50% from the field and 50% from beyond the arc with 2 made 3-pointers per contest. Jacob Toppin averages 10.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. Defensively, he posts 0.5 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Sahvir Wheeler puts up a team-leading 6.3 assists per game. He is also averaging 8.8 points and 2.7 rebounds, shooting 41.3% from the floor.


D’Moi Hodge paces the Tigers in scoring (16.7 points per game) and assists (2.3), and averages 4.1 rebounds. He also averages 2.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Kobe Brown is No. 1 on the Tigers in rebounding (5.7 per game), and posts 14.4 points and 2.8 assists. He also posts 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Nick Honor paces the Tigers in assists (3.2 per game), and puts up 10.5 points and 2 rebounds. He also posts 2.3 steals and 0 blocked shots. Noah Carter is putting up 10.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, making 52.2% of his shots from the field and 37.2% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

Last season, 10 of Kentucky’s conference games went over the point total. On offense, the Wildcats are averaging 78.7 points per game (69th-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 64.4 points per contest at the other end of the court (75th-ranked). Kentucky is allowing 29.1 rebounds per game this season (84th-ranked in college basketball), but it has shined by pulling down 38.5 rebounds per contest (10th-best).

With a 39.9% three-point percentage this season, Kentucky is 12th-best in the country. It ranks 89th in college basketball by draining 8.5 threes per contest. The Wildcats are giving up 6.6 treys per game (125th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opponents to shoot 33.2% (192nd-ranked) from downtown.

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What you need to know about the Missouri Tigers

Missouri put together a 13-7-0 ATS conference record last season. The Tigers are the fourth-best team in the nation in points scored (88.8 per game) and 314th in points allowed (74.7). In 2022-23, Missouri is 264th in the country in rebounds (30.8 per game) and 223rd in rebounds conceded (31.7).

Beyond the arc, Missouri is 16th-best in the country in 3-pointers made per game (10). It is 68th in 3-point percentage at 36.9%. Defensively, the Tigers are 15th-worst in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 9.3. They are 313th in 3-point percentage conceded at 36.1%.

Kentucky vs. Missouri Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Kentucky, and we predict that Missouri will cover the spread (Kentucky -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 148.5 points.

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How to bet Kentucky vs. Missouri

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Missouri at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Missouri picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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