Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, December 31, 2022

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The Louisville Cardinals (2-11) aim to end a four-game road losing skid at the Kentucky Wildcats (8-4) on Saturday, December 31, 2022 at 12:00 PM ET.

The Wildcats square off against the Cardinals in a game that Kentucky is currently an enormous favorite by 23.5 points. The matchup has a point total of 137.5.

Kentucky vs. Louisville Odds

Point Spread for Kentucky vs. Louisville

The spread for this matchup is set at 23.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Kentucky as the favorite.

Kentucky vs. Louisville Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -10000 odds to pick up the win, while Louisville is listed at +1867 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 137.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: Lexington, Kentucky
  • Arena: Rupp Arena

Kentucky vs. Louisville Betting Trends

Kentucky is 4-8-0 against the spread this season. The Wildcats have been chosen as favorites in seven games this year and have walked away with the win five times (71.4%) in those games. Kentucky’s games this year have gone over the total in six out of 13 opportunities (46.2%).

Louisville has covered the spread twice this season. The Cardinals have won one of the eight games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (12.5%). Louisville’s games this year have hit the over on three of 13 set point totals (23.1%).

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Key Players to Watch


Oscar Tshiebwe averages 15.8 points and 13.6 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.5 assists, shooting 57.8% from the field. Cason Wallace puts up 12.4 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game, shooting 49.1% from the floor and 47.4% from downtown with 2.3 made 3-pointers per game. Jacob Toppin is averaging 9.7 points, 1.7 assists and 6.3 rebounds per contest.
Sahvir Wheeler leads his team in assists per game (6.5), and also posts 9.1 points and 2.5 rebounds. At the other end, he posts 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.


Brandon Huntley-Hatfield is putting up a team-high 6.3 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 8.1 points and 0.5 assists, making 44.2% of his shots from the field. Jae’Lyn Withers gets the Cardinals 8.0 points, 4.8 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. The Cardinals get 5.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 0.2 assists per game from Sydney Curry.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

On offense, the Wildcats are averaging 78.4 points per game (62nd-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing 66.4 points per contest on defense (117th-ranked). Kentucky is top-25 this year in rebounding, ranking ninth-best in college basketball with 38.3 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 59th with 28.5 rebounds allowed per contest.

Kentucky is sinking 8.4 treys per game this season (85th-ranked in college basketball), and it sports a 39.5% three-point percentage (13th-best). The Wildcats are ceding 6.9 threes per game (156th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 33.9% (238th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

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What you need to know about the Louisville Cardinals

In 2022-23, the Cardinals are ninth-worst in the nation on offense (61.4 points scored per game) and 296th on defense (73.5 points conceded). On the glass, Louisville is 269th in the country in rebounds (30.7 per game). It is 249th in rebounds conceded (32.3 per game).

With 5.8 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 31.9% from beyond the arc, Louisville is 320th and 280th in the nation, respectively, in those categories. The Cardinals give up 7.5 3-pointers per game and concede 33.6% from beyond the arc, ranking 224th and 221st, respectively, in the country.

Kentucky vs. Louisville Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Kentucky, and we expect that Louisville will cover the spread (Kentucky -23.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137.5 points.

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How to bet Kentucky vs. Louisville

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Louisville at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Louisville picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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