Kentucky vs Kansas Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, January 28, 2023

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The Kentucky Wildcats (14-6) aim to build on a four-game winning run when they host the Kansas Jayhawks (16-4) at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 28, 2023 at Rupp Arena.

The Wildcats are currently moderate 2.5-point favorites over the Jayhawks. The game has an over/under of 140.5.

Kentucky vs. Kansas Odds

Point Spread for Kentucky vs. Kansas

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Kentucky as the favorite.

Kentucky vs. Kansas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -154 odds to pick up the win, while Kansas is listed at +130 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 140.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Location: Lexington, Kentucky
  • Arena: Rupp Arena

Kentucky vs. Kansas Betting Trends

Against the spread, Kentucky is 8-12-0 this season. The Wildcats have been victorious in 10, or 76.9%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Kentucky’s games this year have hit the over on 11 of 20 set point totals.

Kansas has played 20 games, with seven wins, against the spread. The Jayhawks have been the underdog on the moneyline three total times this season. They’ve gone 1-2 in those games. Kansas’ games this season have hit the over on 11 of 20 set point totals (55%).

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Kentucky vs. Kansas Key Players to Watch

Kentucky

Oscar Tshiebwe is tops on his team in both points (16.6) and rebounds (13.9) per contest, and also averages 1.3 assists. At the other end, he puts up 1.6 steals and 1 block. Cason Wallace averages 11.2 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 46.2% from the field and 39.6% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game. Jacob Toppin averages 11 points, 6.6 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 44.1% from the field. Sahvir Wheeler averages a team-high 5.8 assists per game. He is also posting 8.2 points and 2.3 rebounds, shooting 41.1% from the floor.

Kansas

Jalen Wilson is averaging team highs in points (21.4 per game) and rebounds (8.6). And he is contributing 2.5 assists, making 42.7% of his shots from the field and 34.1% from 3-point range, with 2.3 triples per contest. The Jayhawks get 14.9 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Gradey Dick. The Jayhawks get 10.4 points, 7.3 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game from Kevin McCullar. Dajuan Harris is the Jayhawks’ top assist man (6.5 per game), and he averages 7.2 points and 2.3 rebounds. His assist average ranks him fifth in the country.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

This season, the Wildcats are averaging 75.7 points per game (85th-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 66.4 points per contest (91st-ranked). Kentucky has been thriving when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking 12th-best in the country in rebounds per game (36.9) and 12th-best in rebounds allowed per contest (27.2).

The Wildcats are averaging 81.7 points per game this year in home games, which is 16.9 more points than they’re averaging in away games (64.8). With 7.3 treys per game, Kentucky ranks 199th in the nation. It has a 36.9% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 50th in college basketball. The Wildcats rank 115th in college basketball with 6.7 treys allowed per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 185th with a 33.6% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Wildcats have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Kentucky has hit the over seven times. Kentucky has seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 73.6 points per game in its last 10 outings, 2.1 points fewer than the 75.7 it has scored this season. Kentucky has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 68.7 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 66.4 points per game its opponents average over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Kansas Jayhawks

At 75.9 points scored per game and 67.5 points conceded, the Jayhawks are 81st in the country on offense and 128th defensively. In 2022-23, Kansas is 62nd in college basketball in rebounds (34.4 per game) and 217th in rebounds allowed (31.7).

The Jayhawks are scoring fewer points at home (77.5 per game) than on the road (79.4). At 7.6 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc, Kansas is 168th and 93rd in the country, respectively, in those categories. In 2022-23, the Jayhawks are 153rd in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7 per game) and 118th in defensive 3-point percentage (32.1%).

The Jayhawks are 3-7 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests. Kansas has hit the over in four of its last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Kansas is scoring 72.4 points per contest, 3.5 fewer points than its season average (75.9). The Jayhawks are ceding 69.3 points per game over their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 67.5 points allowed.

Kentucky vs. Kansas Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Kentucky, and we predict that Kansas will cover the spread (Kentucky -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 140.5 points.

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How to bet Kentucky vs. Kansas

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Kansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Kansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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