Kentucky vs Florida Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Wednesday, February 22, 2023

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The Kentucky Wildcats (18-9, 9-5 SEC) go up against the Florida Gators (14-13, 7-7 SEC) at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday in SEC play. The matchup airs on ESPN.

Kentucky is a small 2.5-point favorite against Florida when the Wildcats play the Gators on Wednesday. The game has a point total of 140.5.

Kentucky vs. Florida Odds

Point Spread for Kentucky vs. Florida

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Kentucky as the favorite.

Kentucky vs. Florida Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -149 odds to pick up the win, while Florida is listed at +126 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 140.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, February 22, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Gainesville, Florida
  • Arena: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center

Kentucky vs. Florida Betting Trends

Kentucky has 12 wins against the spread in 27 games this year. The Wildcats have been favorites in 18 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (66.7%) in those contests. Kentucky’s games this year have gone over the total in 17 out of 27 opportunities (63%).

Florida is 13-14-0 against the spread this season. The Gators have compiled a 2-8 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 20% of those games). Florida’s games this year have gone over the point total 44.4% of the time (12 out of 27 games with a set point total).

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Kentucky vs. Florida Key Players to Watch

Kentucky

Oscar Tshiebwe paces his squad in both points (15.8) and rebounds (13) per game, and also posts 1.6 assists. Defensively, he puts up 1.6 steals and 1 block. Cason Wallace puts up 11.8 points, 3.7 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Jacob Toppin is averaging 11.8 points, 2.2 assists and 6.4 rebounds per contest. Antonio Reeves puts up 13 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1 assists per game, shooting 41.9% from the field and 41.9% from beyond the arc with 2.3 made 3-pointers per game.

Florida

Colin Castleton is No. 1 on the Gators in scoring (16 points per game) and rebounding (7.7), and puts up 2.7 assists. He also delivers 0.9 steals and 3 blocked shots (third in the country). Will Richard is putting up 10.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game, making 48% of his shots from the floor and 40% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 treys per game. Kyle Lofton is posting a team-leading 3.3 assists per contest. And he is contributing 8.8 points and 3 rebounds, making 41.7% of his shots from the floor. Myreon Jones gives the Gators 5.1 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He also delivers 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky’s SEC games have hit the over 10 out of 14 times this season. Offensively, the Wildcats are putting up 74.3 points per game (122nd-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 67.5 points per contest on defense (107th-ranked). Kentucky has been shining when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking 25th-best in college basketball in rebounds per game (35.5) and 14th-best in boards allowed per contest (27.3).

The Wildcats are averaging 78.7 points per game this season at home, which is 11.1 more points than they’re averaging on the road (67.6). Kentucky is making 6.6 three-pointers per game (261st-ranked in college basketball) this season, while sporting a 36.3% three-point percentage (67th-ranked). So far this year, the Wildcats are allowing 6.4 three-pointers per game (79th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 32.6% (112th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Wildcats are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Kentucky has gone over the total eight times. Kentucky has seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 72.3 points per game in its last 10 outings, two points fewer than the 74.3 it has scored this year. Kentucky has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 68.6 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 67.5 it has surrendered this year.

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What you need to know about the Florida Gators

A total of seven Florida conference games this year have gone over the point total. In 2022-23, the Gators are 176th in the country on offense (71.6 points scored per game) and 113th defensively (67.6 points allowed). In 2022-23, Florida is 136th in the country in rebounds (32.5 per game) and 24th-worst in rebounds allowed (34.3).

In 2022-23 the Gators are scoring 15.1 more points per game at home (77.9) than on the road (62.8). Beyond the arc, Florida is 274th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (6.5). It is 298th in 3-point percentage at 31.8%. In 2022-23, the Gators are 40th in the country in 3-pointers conceded (6 per game) and 98th in defensive 3-point percentage (32.3%).

The Gators are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their past 10 games. Six of Florida’s last 10 contests have hit the over. Florida is putting up 67.1 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 4.5 fewer points than its average for the season (71.6). While the Gators are surrendering 67.6 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their previous 10 games, allowing 69.6 points per contest.

Kentucky vs. Florida Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Kentucky, and we project that Florida will cover the spread (Kentucky -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 140.5 points.

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How to bet Kentucky vs. Florida

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Florida at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Florida picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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