Kentucky vs Auburn Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 25, 2023

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The Auburn Tigers (19-9, 9-6 SEC) will try to stop a four-game road losing streak at the Kentucky Wildcats (19-9, 10-5 SEC) on Saturday, February 25, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET.

Saturday’s matchup between the Wildcats and the Tigers features the Wildcats as 5.5-point favorites. A 141-point over/under is set for the game.

Kentucky vs. Auburn Odds

Point Spread for Kentucky vs. Auburn

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Kentucky as the favorite.

Kentucky vs. Auburn Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -229 odds to pick up the win, while Auburn is listed at +189 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 141 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 25, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Lexington, Kentucky
  • Arena: Rupp Arena

Kentucky vs. Auburn Betting Trends

Kentucky is 13-15-0 against the spread this season. The Wildcats have won in 13, or 68.4%, of the 19 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Kentucky’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 18 times in 28 opportunities (64.3%).

Auburn has 13 wins against the spread in 28 games this year. The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline a total of four times this season, and they’ve lost all of those games. Auburn’s games this year have hit the over 57.1% of the time (16 out of 28 games with a set point total).

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Kentucky vs. Auburn Key Players to Watch


Oscar Tshiebwe puts up 16.2 points and 12.7 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.7 assists, shooting 56.2% from the field. Cason Wallace posts 11.7 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest, shooting 44.8% from the field and 35.1% from downtown with 1.5 made 3-pointers per game. Jacob Toppin averages 12.1 points, 6.6 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 46.8% from the field. Antonio Reeves puts up 13.1 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. At the other end, he posts 0.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.


Johni Broome leads the Tigers in scoring (14.1 points per game) and rebounding (8.9), and produces 1.4 assists. He also posts 1.0 steal and 2.5 blocked shots (eighth in college basketball). Wendell Green Jr. is averaging a team-high 4.3 assists per game. He’s also producing 13.9 points and 3.6 rebounds, making 36.7% of his shots from the floor, and 28.2% from beyond the arc resulting in 1.3 triples per game. The Tigers get 11.0 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Jaylin Williams. Allen Flanigan is posting 9.5 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, making 44.0% of his shots from the floor and 32.6% from 3-point range, with 1.0 triples per contest.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky has put together a 9-6-0 ATS record in conference games so far this year. On offense, the Wildcats are putting up 74.6 points per game (115th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing 67.7 points per contest on defense (112th-ranked). In terms of rebounding, it’s been a dominant stretch for Kentucky, who is grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game (24th-best in college basketball) and allowing 27.0 boards per contest (10th-best).

The Wildcats put up 78.7 points per game when playing at home, compared to 69.4 points per game in away games, a difference of 9.3 points per contest. Kentucky ranks 273rd in the country with 6.5 treys per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 74th with a 36.2% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. So far this year, the Wildcats are giving up 6.4 three-pointers per game (79th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 32.8% (119th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Wildcats have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span. Eight of Kentucky’s last 10 contests have gone over the total. Kentucky’s offense has been less effective over its last 10 games, racking up 72.0 points a contest compared to the 74.6 it has averaged this year. Kentucky’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (68.9) is 1.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.7).

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What you need to know about the Auburn Tigers

Auburn has won seven games against the spread this year in conference action, while failing to cover eight times. At 72.7 points scored per game and 65.1 points allowed, the Tigers are 159th in the nation offensively and 51st on defense. Auburn is 60th in the country in rebounds per game (34.0) and 204th in rebounds conceded (31.5).

At home, the Tigers average 74.9 points per game. Away, they average 71.2. In 2022-23 Auburn is 295th in the nation in 3-point makes (6.3 per game) and 15th-worst in 3-point percentage (30.1%). Defensively, the Tigers are 12th-best in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 5.4. They are fourth-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 27.7%.

The Tigers have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall in their last 10 games. Six of Auburn’s last 10 contests have gone over the total. Auburn has performed better offensively over its past 10 games, averaging 73.7 points per contest, 1.0 more than its season average of 72.7. The Tigers have performed worse defensively in their last 10 games, giving up 70.1 points per contest, 5.0 more points their than season average of 65.1.

Kentucky vs. Auburn Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Kentucky, and we project that Auburn will cover the spread (Kentucky -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 141 points.

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How to bet Kentucky vs. Auburn

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Auburn at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Auburn picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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