Kentucky vs Arkansas Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Tuesday, February 7, 2023

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The Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 7-3 SEC) face the Arkansas Razorbacks (16-7, 5-5 SEC) on Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET in SEC action.

Tuesday’s matchup between the Wildcats and the Razorbacks features the Wildcats as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under is 137 points for the matchup.

Kentucky vs. Arkansas Odds

Point Spread for Kentucky vs. Arkansas

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with bookmakers listing Kentucky as the favorite.

Kentucky vs. Arkansas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -240 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas is listed at +196 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 137 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, February 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Location: Lexington, Kentucky
  • Arena: Rupp Arena

Kentucky vs. Arkansas Betting Trends

Kentucky is 10-13-0 against the spread this year. The Wildcats have been chosen as favorites in 16 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (75%) in those games. Kentucky’s games this year have gone over the total in 14 out of 23 opportunities (60.9%).

Against the spread, Arkansas is 11-11-1 this year. The Razorbacks have won one of the four games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (25%). Arkansas’ games this year have gone over the total in seven of 23 opportunities (30.4%).

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Kentucky vs. Arkansas Key Players to Watch


Oscar Tshiebwe leads his squad in both points (15.9) and rebounds (13.6) per contest, and also averages 1.5 assists. Defensively, he posts 1.6 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Cason Wallace averages 11.7 points, 3.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game, shooting 47.8% from the floor and 41.1% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest. Jacob Toppin averages 11.7 points, 6.5 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. Defensively, he posts 0.5 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
Sahvir Wheeler is tops on his squad in assists per game (5.6), and also averages 7.7 points and 2.3 rebounds. Defensively, he puts up 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.


Anthony Black is the Razorbacks’ top assist man (4 per game), and he produces 12.5 points and 5.3 rebounds. Ricky Council IV is the Razorbacks’ top scorer (17 points per game) and assist man (2.4), and posts 3.2 rebounds. The Razorbacks get 11 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Davonte Davis. Makhi Mitchell is No. 1 on the Razorbacks in rebounding (5.6 per game), and produces 7.2 points and 1 assists. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 1.4 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky’s SEC games have hit the over seven out of 10 times this season. With 75.2 points per game on offense, the Wildcats rank 98th in the nation. At the other end, they allow 66.8 points per contest, which ranks 100th in college basketball. When it comes to rebounding, things are clicking for Kentucky, who is averaging 36 rebounds per game (23rd-best in college basketball) and allowing 27.3 rebounds per contest (14th-best).

When playing at home, the Wildcats are averaging 13.2 more points per game (80) than they are in road games (66.8). This year, Kentucky is making 6.9 treys per game (242nd-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 36.8% (48th-ranked) from downtown. With 6.5 three-pointers conceded per game, the Wildcats rank 96th in the country. They are allowing a 33.1% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 156th in college basketball.

The Wildcats have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 games. Kentucky has gone over the total in seven of its last 10 games. Kentucky’s offense has been less effective over its last 10 games, racking up 70.2 points a contest compared to the 75.2 it has averaged this year. Kentucky has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 67.7 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 66.8 points per game its opponents average on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas has compiled a 3-7-0 record against the spread in conference games this year. At 74.4 points scored per game and 65.2 points conceded, the Razorbacks are 121st in the country on offense and 59th defensively. In 2022-23, Arkansas is 120th in the country in rebounds (33.2 per game) and 53rd in rebounds allowed (28.6).

In 2022-23 the Razorbacks are averaging 7.3 more points per game at home (74.8) than away (67.5). In 2022-23 Arkansas is ninth-worst in college basketball in 3-point makes (5 per game) and rank 329th in 3-point percentage (30.6%). The Razorbacks are the 17th-best squad in the country in 3-pointers conceded (5.5 per game) and 67th in 3-point percentage defensively (31.4%).

The Razorbacks have gone 5-5 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Arkansas has gone over the total three times. Arkansas has played worse offensively in its previous 10 games, putting up 70.1 points per contest, 4.3 fewer points its than season average of 74.4. In their past 10 games, the Razorbacks are giving up 69.7 points per game, 4.5 more points than their season average (65.2).

Kentucky vs. Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Kentucky, and we expect that Arkansas will cover the spread (Kentucky -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137 points.

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How to bet Kentucky vs. Arkansas

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Arkansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Arkansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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