Kansas vs Texas Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Kansas Jayhawks (27-6, 13-5 Big 12) square off against the No. 2 Texas Longhorns (25-8, 12-6 Big 12) in the championship game of the Big 12 tournament on Saturday at 6:00 PM. The winner will claim an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Kansas is a slim 2-point favorite against Texas when the Jayhawks take on the Longhorns on Saturday. The over/under is 142.5 points for the game.

Kansas vs. Texas Odds

Point Spread for Kansas vs. Texas

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing Kansas as the favorite.

Kansas vs. Texas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kansas has -140 odds to pick up the win, while Texas is listed at +119 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 142.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Arena: T-Mobile Center

Kansas vs. Texas Betting Trends

Kansas has played 33 games, with 16 wins against the spread. The Jayhawks have won in 24, or 88.9%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Kansas has gone over the point total in 48.5% of its opportunities this year (16 times in 33 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, Texas is 16-17-0 this season. The Longhorns have put together a 1-5 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 16.7% of those games). Texas has eclipsed the over/under 48.5% of the time this year (16 of 33 games with a set point total).

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Kansas vs. Texas Key Players to Watch


Jalen Wilson is tops on his squad in both points (20) and rebounds (8.5) per game, and also posts 2.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.5 blocked shots. Kevin McCullar averages 10.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest, shooting 43.5% from the floor. Gradey Dick averages 14.4 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he puts up 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
Dajuan Harris paces his squad in assists per game (6.3), and also averages 8.8 points and 2.5 rebounds. Defensively, he puts up 2.2 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.


Timmy Allen is the Longhorns’ top rebounder (5.5 per game), and he averages 10.5 points and 3.5 assists. Jabari Rice is posting 12.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2 assists per contest, making 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 35.7% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per contest. Tyrese Hunter is putting up 10.5 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, making 39.6% of his shots from the floor and 34.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest.

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What you need to know about the Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas has compiled a 10-10-0 conference record against the spread this season. The Jayhawks are 86th in college basketball with 75.5 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 106th with 67.7 points allowed per game. Kansas ranks 88th in the nation with 33.3 rebounds per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 236th with 31.9 rebounds allowed per contest.

So far this season, Kansas is sinking 7.1 threes per game (211th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 34.7% (154th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Jayhawks are allowing 6.5 treys per game (81st-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 31.4% (51st-ranked) from three-point land.

The Jayhawks have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall over their last 10 games. Three of Kansas’ past 10 contests have gone over the total. Kansas has been racking up 75.4 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 75.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Kansas’ defense has been tough lately, as the team has allowed 67.1 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 67.7 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the Texas Longhorns

Texas has covered 11 times in 20 matchups with a spread in conference action this season. On offense the Longhorns are the 40th-ranked squad in college basketball (77.9 points per game). Defensively they are 109th (67.8 points allowed per game). Texas grabs 31.7 rebounds per game and give up 31.2 boards, ranking 184th and 188th, respectively, in the country.

With 7.2 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34% from downtown, Texas is 202nd and 185th in the nation, respectively, in those categories. In 2022-23, the Longhorns are 81st in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (6.5 per game) and 116th in defensive 3-point percentage (32.9%).

The Longhorns have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Texas has gone over the total in four of its past 10 games. Over its last 10 games, Texas is tallying 74.4 points per contest, compared to its season average of 77.9. In their previous 10 games, the Longhorns are giving up 68.1 points per contest, 0.3 more points than their season average (67.8).

Kansas vs. Texas Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Kansas, and we expect that Texas will cover the spread (Kansas -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 142.5 points.

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How to bet Kansas vs. Texas

You can bet on Kansas vs. Texas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kansas vs. Texas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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