Kansas vs Iowa State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, March 10, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Kansas Jayhawks (26-6, 13-5 Big 12) will hit the court in the Big 12 Tournament against the No. 5 seed Iowa State Cyclones (19-12, 9-9 Big 12). The teams will square off Friday at 7:00 PM live on ESPN.

The Jayhawks are currently 4.5-point favorites over the Cyclones. The over/under for the matchup is set at 130.5.

Kansas vs. Iowa State Odds

Point Spread for Kansas vs. Iowa State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing Kansas as the favorite.

Kansas vs. Iowa State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kansas has -204 odds to pick up the win, while Iowa State is listed at +169 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 130.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Arena: T-Mobile Center

Kansas vs. Iowa State Betting Trends

In Kansas’ 32 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread. The Jayhawks have won in 23, or 88.5%, of the 26 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Kansas’ games this year have hit the over on 16 of 31 set point totals.

Iowa State is 16-15-0 against the spread this season. The Cyclones have been the moneyline underdog 16 total times this season. They’ve gone 8-8 in those games. Iowa State’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 35.5% of the time (11 out of 31 games with a set point total).

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Kansas vs. Iowa State Key Players to Watch

Kansas

Jalen Wilson is tops on the Jayhawks with 19.8 points per contest and 8.4 rebounds, while also averaging 2.4 assists. Kevin McCullar puts up 10.8 points, 7.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, shooting 43.2% from the floor. Gradey Dick is posting 14.4 points, 1.6 assists and 4.8 rebounds per game.
Dajuan Harris leads his team in assists per game (6.3), and also posts 8.8 points and 2.5 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 2.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Iowa State

Jaren Holmes paces the Cyclones in scoring (13.3 points per game) and assists (3.3), and posts 3.7 rebounds. He also posts 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Tamin Lipsey is the Cyclones’ top assist man (4.6 per game), and he puts up 7.5 points and 3.8 rebounds. The Cyclones get 13.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Gabe Kalscheur. Osun Osunniyi paces the Cyclones in rebounding (4 per game), and produces 8.5 points and 1.1 assists. He also averages 0.4 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas has put together a 9-10-0 conference record against the spread this season. With 75.7 points per game on offense, the Jayhawks are 85th in the country. On defense, they cede 68 points per contest, which ranks 118th in college basketball. Kansas is averaging 33.5 rebounds per game (75th-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 31.9 rebounds per contest (235th-ranked).

Kansas is draining 7.1 threes per game (212th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 34.8% shooting percentage (148th-ranked) from three-point land. This season, the Jayhawks are allowing 6.5 treys per game (82nd-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 31.2% (46th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Jayhawks have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Kansas has gone over the total three times. Kansas’ offense has been less effective over its last 10 games, racking up 73.6 points a contest compared to the 75.7 it has averaged this season. Kansas has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 68.1 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 68 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State has won 10 games against the spread this season in conference play, while failing to cover nine times. On offense, the Cyclones are the 253rd-ranked team in college basketball (68.8 points per game). On defense, they are 20th-best (62.5 points conceded per game). Iowa State is 251st in college basketball in rebounds per game (30.6) and 20th-best in rebounds allowed (27.6).

Beyond the arc, Iowa State is 270th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (6.6). It is 202nd in 3-point percentage at 33.8%. In 2022-23, the Cyclones are 242nd in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (7.7 per game) and 188th in defensive 3-point percentage (33.9%).

The Cyclones have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Iowa State has hit the over in three of its past 10 outings. Iowa State is posting 64.4 points per contest over its past 10 games, which is 4.4 fewer points than its average for the season (68.8). While the Cyclones are surrendering 62.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their last 10 games, allowing 64.8 points per contest.

Kansas vs. Iowa State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Kansas, and we project that Kansas will cover the spread (Kansas -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 130.5 points.

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How to bet Kansas vs. Iowa State

You can bet on Kansas vs. Iowa State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kansas vs. Iowa State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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