Kansas vs Baylor Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 18, 2023

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The Kansas Jayhawks (21-5, 9-4 Big 12) will try to extend a three-game win streak when they host the Baylor Bears (20-6, 9-4 Big 12) at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 18, 2023. The Bears have taken four games in a row.

Saturday’s matchup between the Jayhawks and the Bears sees the Jayhawks as 5-point favorites. The over/under is 149 points for the game.

Kansas vs. Baylor Odds

Point Spread for Kansas vs. Baylor

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with oddsmakers listing Kansas as the favorite.

Kansas vs. Baylor Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kansas has -221 odds to pick up the win, while Baylor is listed at +183 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 149 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 18, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Lawrence, Kansas
  • Arena: Allen Fieldhouse

Kansas vs. Baylor Betting Trends

In the Kansas’ 26 games this year, it has 12 wins against the spread. The Jayhawks have been chosen as favorites in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (86.4%) in those games. Kansas’ games this year have gone over the point total 57.7% of the time (15 out of 26 games with a set point total).

Baylor is 14-12-0 against the spread this season. The Bears have been the underdog on the moneyline four total times this season. They’ve gone 3-1 in those games. Baylor’s games this season have hit the over on 13 of 26 set point totals (50%).

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Kansas vs. Baylor Key Players to Watch


Jalen Wilson is tops on the Jayhawks with 20.3 points per game and 8.2 rebounds, while also posting 2.6 assists. Kevin McCullar posts 10.8 points, 7.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game, shooting 43.1% from the floor. Gradey Dick puts up 14.7 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. Defensively, he puts up 1.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Dajuan Harris paces the Jayhawks at 6.1 assists per contest, while also posting 2.5 rebounds and 8.0 points. He is ninth in college basketball in assists.


Keyonte George is averaging a team-high 16.5 points per game. And he is delivering 4.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists, making 38.6% of his shots from the floor and 33.7% from 3-point range, with 2.3 triples per contest. Adam Flagler is registering a team-leading 4.9 assists per game. He’s also producing 15.8 points and 2.3 rebounds, making 42.7% of his shots from the field, and 41.9% from 3-point range resulting in 2.7 treys per game. Jalen Bridges is putting up a team-leading 5.8 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 9.7 points and 1.0 assists, making 49.2% of his shots from the field. LJ Cryer gets the Bears 14.9 points, 2.1 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.6 steals and 0.0 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas has covered six times in 13 chances against the spread in conference action this season. So far this season, the Jayhawks are averaging 76.6 points per game (64th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendering 68.2 points per contest (137th-ranked). Kansas is grabbing 34.0 rebounds per game (61st-ranked in college basketball). It is allowing 31.5 rebounds per contest (213th-ranked).

Offensively the Jayhawks have played better when playing at home this season, scoring 79.3 points per game, compared to 76.9 per game in road games. Kansas is sinking 7.3 threes per game (191st-ranked in college basketball) this season, while putting up a 35.6% three-point percentage (100th-ranked). The Jayhawks are surrendering 6.7 threes per game (115th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 31.9% three-point percentage (75th-ranked).

The Jayhawks are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Kansas has hit the over five times. On the offensive side of the ball, Kansas has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 74.6 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 76.6 it has racked up over the course of this season. The past 10 games have seen Kansas concede 4.4 more points per game (72.6) than its season-long average (68.2).

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What you need to know about the Baylor Bears

Baylor and its opponents have combined to go over the point total seven out of 13 times this season in Big 12 action. The Bears are 32nd in the country in points scored (78.8 per game) and 160th in points allowed (69.0). In 2022-23, Baylor is 213th in the country in rebounds (31.3 per game) and 33rd in rebounds conceded (28.2).

The Bears score 83.9 points per game at home, and 71.6 on the road. Beyond the arc, Baylor is 21st-best in the country in 3-pointers made per game (9.4). It is 66th in 3-point percentage at 36.4%. The Bears give up 6.8 3-pointers per game and concede 32.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 131st and 114th, respectively, in the country.

The Bears have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Baylor has hit the over three times. Baylor has played worse offensively in its past 10 games, compiling 75.2 points per contest, 3.6 fewer points its than season average of 78.8. In their previous 10 games, the Bears are surrendering 67.0 points per contest, 2.0 fewer points than their season average (69.0).

Kansas vs. Baylor Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Kansas, and we expect that Baylor will cover the spread (Kansas -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 149 points.

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How to bet Kansas vs. Baylor

You can bet on Kansas vs. Baylor at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kansas vs. Baylor picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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