Kansas vs Arkansas Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 18, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Kansas Jayhawks (28-7) and the No. 8 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (21-13) play in the NCAA Tournament with a place in the Sweet 16 of the West Region bracket up for grabs on Saturday at Wells Fargo Arena, tipping off at 5:15 PM.

Saturday’s game between the Jayhawks and the Razorbacks features the Jayhawks as 3.5-point favorites. The game’s point total is 143.5.

Kansas vs. Arkansas Odds

Point Spread for Kansas vs. Arkansas

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing Kansas as the favorite.

Kansas vs. Arkansas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kansas has -181 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas is listed at +153 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 143.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 18, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Des Moines, Iowa
  • Arena: Wells Fargo Arena

Kansas vs. Arkansas Betting Trends

Kansas has 17 wins against the spread in 35 games this year. The Jayhawks have won in 25, or 86.2%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Kansas’ games this year have hit the over 50% of the time (17 out of 34 games with a set point total).

Arkansas has played 34 games, with 16 wins, against the spread. The Razorbacks have a 2-7 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 22.2% of those games). Arkansas’ games this season have hit the over 41.2% of the time (14 out of 34 games with a set point total).

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Kansas vs. Arkansas Key Players to Watch


Jalen Wilson leads the Jayhawks with 20.1 points per game and 8.4 rebounds, while also averaging 2.2 assists. Gradey Dick puts up 14.3 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 44.4% from the field and 40.4% from beyond the arc with 2.3 made 3-pointers per game. Kevin McCullar is putting up 10.6 points, 2.4 assists and 7.1 rebounds per contest. Dajuan Harris is tops on the Jayhawks at 6.3 assists per contest, while also putting up 2.5 rebounds and 8.8 points. He is seventh in college basketball in assists.


Anthony Black is the Razorbacks’ top assist man (4.1 per game), and he averages 12.8 points and 5.1 rebounds. Ricky Council IV is averaging team highs in points (16 per game) and assists (2.2). And he is delivering 3.6 rebounds, making 44.3% of his shots from the floor. Davonte Davis gets the Razorbacks 10.7 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He also posts 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Makhi Mitchell is posting a team-best 5.6 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 7.2 points and 1.1 assists, making 67.1% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Kansas Jayhawks

This year, the Jayhawks are averaging 75.5 points per game (84th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendering 67.9 points per contest (115th-ranked). Kansas is grabbing 33.3 rebounds per game (86th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 32 rebounds per contest (242nd-ranked).

Kansas is draining 7 threes per game (220th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while sporting a 34.6% three-point percentage (158th-ranked). The Jayhawks are 82nd in the country with 6.5 three-pointers allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 44th with a 31.2% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Jayhawks have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Kansas has hit the over three times. In its last 10 games, Kansas has been putting up 74 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 75.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen Kansas give up 0.1 more points per game (68) than its season-long average (67.9).

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

The Razorbacks are 116th in the nation in points scored (74.4 per game) and 96th in points conceded (67.3). With 32.6 rebounds per game and 29.3 rebounds conceded, Arkansas is 120th and 70th in the country, respectively.

In 2022-23 Arkansas is ninth-worst in the nation in 3-point makes (5 per game) and rank 313th in 3-point percentage (31.6%). The Razorbacks are the sixth-best team in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (5.1 per game) and 22nd-best in 3-point percentage defensively (30.4%).

The Razorbacks are 4-5-1 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests. Arkansas has gone over the total in six of its last 10 outings. Over its last 10 games, Arkansas is posting 73 points per contest, 1.4 fewer points than its season average (74.4). The Razorbacks are allowing 71.4 points per game in their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 67.3 points allowed.

Kansas vs. Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Kansas, and we expect that Kansas will cover the spread (Kansas -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 143.5 points.

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How to bet Kansas vs. Arkansas

You can bet on Kansas vs. Arkansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kansas vs. Arkansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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