Kansas State vs Florida Atlantic Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 25, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Kansas State Wildcats (26-9) match up with the No. 9 seed Florida Atlantic Owls (34-3) in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight on Saturday at Madison Square Garden, airing on TBS starting at 6:09 PM.

The Wildcats are currently slim 1-point favorites against the Owls. The matchup’s point total is 144.

Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic Odds

Point Spread for Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with sportsbooks listing Kansas State as the favorite.

Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kansas State has -126 odds to pick up the win, while Florida Atlantic is listed at +105 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 144 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 25, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:09 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic Betting Trends

In Kansas State’s 35 games this season, it has 24 wins against the spread. The Wildcats have been named as the favorite 19 times this year and have yet to lose any of those games. Kansas State has gone over the point total in 54.3% of its opportunities this year (19 times in 35 games with a set point total).

In Florida Atlantic’s 35 games this year, it has 23 wins against the spread. The Owls have been the underdog on the moneyline seven total times this season. They’ve finished 5-2 in those games. Florida Atlantic’s games this year have hit the over 18 times in 35 opportunities (51.4%).

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Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic Key Players to Watch

Kansas State

Markquis Nowell paces his team in assists per game (8.1), and also posts 17.2 points and 3.5 rebounds. Defensively, he posts 2.5 steals (eighth in the country) and 0.1 blocked shots. Keyontae Johnson is tops on his team in both points (17.7) and rebounds (6.9) per game, and also puts up 2.2 assists. At the other end, he puts up 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Nae’Qwan Tomlin is posting 10.3 points, 1.2 assists and 5.9 rebounds per game. Desi Sills posts 8.7 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest, shooting 44.7% from the floor.

Florida Atlantic

Johnell Davis tops the Owls in scoring (13.9 points per game) and assists (1.5), and averages 5.4 rebounds. He also averages 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Alijah Martin gets the Owls 13 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He also puts up 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots. Vladislav Goldin is posting a team-high 6.4 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 10.2 points and 0.4 assists, making 63% of his shots from the floor. Nicholas Boyd is No. 1 on the Owls in assists (2.6 per game), and puts up 8.9 points and 4.3 rebounds. He also delivers 0.8 steals and 0 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Kansas State Wildcats

With 76.2 points per game on offense, the Wildcats are 68th in the nation. On defense, they cede 69.6 points per contest, which ranks 159th in college basketball. With 31.8 boards per game, Kansas State ranks 179th in the nation. It allows 30.2 rebounds per contest, which ranks 115th in college basketball.

Kansas State is draining 7.1 treys per game (209th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while owning a 34% three-point percentage (182nd-ranked). The Wildcats rank 25th-best in the nation by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 30.5% to opposing teams. They rank 82nd in college basketball by surrendering 6.5 threes per contest.

The Wildcats are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. Six of Kansas State’s last 10 contests have hit the over. In its last 10 games, Kansas State has been scoring 75.7 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 76.2 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen Kansas State concede 3.6 more points per game (73.2) than its season-long average (69.6).

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What you need to know about the Florida Atlantic Owls

On offense the Owls are the 36th-ranked squad in the country (78 points per game). On defense they are 40th (64.8 points conceded per game). Florida Atlantic is the 13th-best squad in the nation in rebounds per game (35.9) and is ranked 123rd in rebounds conceded (30.3).

Florida Atlantic is the 14th-best team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (9.6 per game) and 55th in 3-point percentage (36.5%). Defensively, the Owls are 82nd in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 6.5. They are 52nd in 3-point percentage allowed at 31.4%.

The Owls are 7-3 against the spread and 10-0 overall in their last 10 contests. Florida Atlantic has gone over the total in four of its last 10 contests. While Florida Atlantic is averaging 78 points per game in 2022-23, it has improved that mark in its last 10 games, producing 78.7 a contest. Over their previous 10 games, the Owls are ceding 62.3 points per game, compared to their season average of 64.8 points allowed.

Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Florida Atlantic, and we expect that Florida Atlantic will cover the spread (Kansas State -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 144 points.

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How to bet Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic

You can bet on Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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