James Madison vs Troy Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The No. 5 seed Troy Trojans (20-12, 11-7 Sun Belt) play in the Sun Belt Tournament against the No. 4 seed James Madison Dukes (21-10, 12-6 Sun Belt) on Saturday at Pensacola Bay Center, tipping off at 3:00 PM.

James Madison is a small 4-point favorite against Troy when the Dukes square off with the Trojans on Saturday. The matchup has a point total of 146.5.

James Madison vs. Troy Odds

Point Spread for James Madison vs. Troy

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing James Madison as the favorite.

James Madison vs. Troy Moneyline

As for the moneyline, James Madison has -184 odds to pick up the win, while Troy is listed at +155 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 146.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Pensacola, Florida
  • Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

James Madison vs. Troy Betting Trends

Against the spread, James Madison is 19-10-0 this year. The Dukes have been favorites in 22 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (68.2%) in those contests. James Madison has hit the over in 48.3% of its opportunities this year (14 times over 29 games with a set point total).

Troy has played 29 games, with 14 wins, against the spread. The Trojans have won 33.3% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (3-6). Troy’s games this year have hit the over 16 times in 29 opportunities (55.2%).

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James Madison vs. Troy Key Players to Watch

James Madison

Terrence Edwards puts up a team-leading 12.8 points per contest. He is also putting up 4.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists, shooting 51.9% from the field and 44.1% from downtown with 1 made 3-pointers per game. Takal Molson leads the Dukes at 2.4 assists per contest, while also putting up 4.9 rebounds and 11.1 points. Mezie Offurum paces his team in rebounds per contest (5.4), and also posts 10.2 points and 1.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.4 blocked shots. Vado Morse is putting up 12.3 points, 2.2 assists and 1.9 rebounds per contest.


Zay Williams is the Trojans’ top scorer (12.2 points per game) and rebounder (7.2), and delivers 1.3 assists. Nelson Phillips gives the Trojans 11.1 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2 assists per game. He also averages 2.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Christyon Eugene is averaging a team-leading 2.7 assists per game. And he is producing 11.6 points and 3.2 rebounds, making 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 treys per game. Aamer Muhammad is averaging 10.6 points, 1.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, making 37.8% of his shots from the floor and 32.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 triples per game.

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What you need to know about the James Madison Dukes

James Madison’s Sun Belt games have hit the over eight out of 18 times this season. The Dukes have been lifted by their offense, as they rank 14th-best in the country by putting up 81.2 points per game. They rank 111th in college basketball in points allowed (67.7 per contest). James Madison is 41st in college basketball with 34.6 boards per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 156th with 30.7 rebounds allowed per game.

This year, James Madison is making 8.2 treys per game (89th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.7% (93rd-ranked) from three-point land. So far this year, the Dukes are ceding 6.9 three-pointers per game (139th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 31.1% (42nd-ranked) from downtown.

The Dukes are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, James Madison has gone over the total five times. James Madison’s offense has been less effective over its last 10 games, racking up 74.3 points a contest compared to the 81.2 it has averaged this year. James Madison’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (68.2) is 0.5 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.7).

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What you need to know about the Troy Trojans

Troy and its opponents have combined to go over the point total nine out of 19 times this year in Sun Belt action. On offense the Trojans are the 143rd-ranked squad in college basketball (73.2 points per game). On defense they are 75th (66.5 points allowed per game). In 2022-23, Troy is 185th in college basketball in rebounds (31.6 per game) and 86th in rebounds conceded (29.5).

Troy is 133rd in college basketball in 3-pointers made (7.8 per game) and 281st in 3-point percentage (32.4%). Giving up 6.1 3-pointers per game and conceding 31.9% from downtown, the Trojans are 42nd and 66th in the country, respectively, in those categories.

The Trojans have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Troy has hit the over seven times. In its previous 10 games, Troy is posting 71.9 points per game, 1.3 fewer points than its season average (73.2). The Trojans are surrendering 69.8 points per game in their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 66.5 points allowed.

James Madison vs. Troy Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is James Madison, and we project that Troy will cover the spread (James Madison -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 146.5 points.

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How to bet James Madison vs. Troy

You can bet on James Madison vs. Troy at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s James Madison vs. Troy picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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