Iowa vs Ohio State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 5 seed Iowa Hawkeyes (19-12, 11-9 Big Ten) will hit the court in the Big Ten Tournament against the No. 13 seed Ohio State Buckeyes (14-18, 5-15 Big Ten). The teams will face off Thursday at 2:30 PM live on Big Ten Network.

The Hawkeyes face the Buckeyes in a game that Iowa is currently a moderate favorite by 4 points. The over/under is 153 points for the game.

Iowa vs. Ohio State Odds

Point Spread for Iowa vs. Ohio State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing Iowa as the favorite.

Iowa vs. Ohio State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Iowa has -190 odds to pick up the win, while Ohio State is listed at +162 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 153 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Arena: United Center

Iowa vs. Ohio State Betting Trends

Iowa is 17-13-1 against the spread this season. The Hawkeyes have been chosen as favorites in 21 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (71.4%) in those games. Iowa’s games this year have gone over the total in 18 out of 32 opportunities (56.2%).

Against the spread, Ohio State is 12-20-0 this year. The Buckeyes have been the moneyline underdog 14 total times this season. They’ve gone 3-11 in those games. Ohio State’s games this season have hit the over on 16 of 32 set point totals (50%).

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Iowa vs. Ohio State Key Players to Watch


Kris Murray paces the Hawkeyes with 20.5 points per contest and 8 rebounds, while also putting up 1.9 assists. Filip Rebraca is posting 13.9 points, 2.1 assists and 7.6 rebounds per game. Tony Perkins is putting up 12.4 points, 2.9 assists and 4 rebounds per game.
Connor McCaffery leads his squad in assists per game (3.8), and also averages 6.7 points and 4.1 rebounds. Defensively, he posts 1.4 steals and 0 blocked shots.

Ohio State

Brice Sensabaugh is the Buckeyes’ top scorer (16.3 points per game), and he contributes 1.1 assists and 5.4 rebounds. The Buckeyes get 12.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Justice Sueing. Zed Key is the Buckeyes’ top rebounder (7.5 per game), and he puts up 10.8 points and 0.8 assists. Bruce Thornton gets the Buckeyes 10.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Iowa Hawkeyes

So far this season, 14 out of Iowa’s 20 Big Ten games have hit the over. The Hawkeyes are allowing 74.5 points per game this season (302nd-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really thrived offensively, putting up 80.6 points per game (17th-best). Iowa is averaging 33.7 rebounds per game (65th-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 32.2 rebounds per contest (257th-ranked).

Iowa is sinking 8.2 threes per game (89th-ranked in college basketball). It has a 34.6% shooting percentage (161st-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Hawkeyes are giving up 7.1 treys per game (164th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opponents to shoot 36.5% (329th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Hawkeyes are 4-5-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Iowa has gone over the total seven times. Iowa has seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 79.1 points per game in its last 10 contests, 1.5 points fewer than the 80.6 it has scored this season. Iowa’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 76.6 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 74.5 points per game its opponents average on the season.

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What you need to know about the Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State’s conference games have hit the over eight out of 21 times this year. At 72.8 points scored per game and 69 points conceded, the Buckeyes are 156th in the nation on offense and 143rd on defense. Ohio State is 76th in the nation in rebounds per game (33.5) and 106th in rebounds conceded (30).

With 6.6 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 36% from beyond the arc, Ohio State is 269th and 83rd in the nation, respectively, in those categories. Giving up 7.1 3-pointers per game and conceding 32.3% from downtown, the Buckeyes are 164th and 90th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Buckeyes are 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall over their past 10 contests. Four of Ohio State’s past 10 games have gone over the total. In its previous 10 games, Ohio State is scoring 66.2 points per contest, compared to its season average of 72.8. While the Buckeyes are giving up 69 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their last 10 games, allowing 72 points per contest.

Iowa vs. Ohio State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Iowa, and we expect that Ohio State will cover the spread (Iowa -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 153 points.

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How to bet Iowa vs. Ohio State

You can bet on Iowa vs. Ohio State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Iowa vs. Ohio State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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