Iowa vs Ohio State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, February 16, 2023

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The Ohio State Buckeyes (11-14, 3-11 Big Ten) will attempt to stop a six-game road losing streak at the Iowa Hawkeyes (16-9, 8-6 Big Ten) on Thursday, February 16, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET.

Iowa is a healthy 7-point favorite against Ohio State when the Hawkeyes face off with the Buckeyes on Thursday. The over/under is 153.5 points for the game.

Iowa vs. Ohio State Odds

Point Spread for Iowa vs. Ohio State

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing Iowa as the favorite.

Iowa vs. Ohio State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Iowa has -307 odds to pick up the win, while Ohio State is listed at +249 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 153.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, February 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Iowa City, Iowa
  • Arena: Carver-Hawkeye Arena

Iowa vs. Ohio State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Iowa is 14-10-1 this year. The Hawkeyes have been chosen as favorites in 16 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (81.2%) in those games. Iowa’s games this year have gone over the point total 14 times in 25 opportunities (56%).

Ohio State has played 25 games, with eight wins, against the spread. The Buckeyes have won one of the nine games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (11.1%). Ohio State’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 13 times in 25 opportunities (52%).

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Iowa vs. Ohio State Key Players to Watch


Kris Murray puts up 21 points and 8.5 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.8 assists, shooting 50.3% from the floor and 35.6% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game. Filip Rebraca averages 14.1 points, 8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. Defensively, he posts 0.6 steals and 1.2 blocked shots. Tony Perkins posts 11.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Payton Sandfort averages 9.6 points, 4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 0.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Ohio State

Brice Sensabaugh is the Buckeyes’ top scorer (16.4 points per game) and assist man (0.9), and puts up 5.2 rebounds. Zed Key is the Buckeyes’ top rebounder (7.8 per game), and he puts up 11.1 points and 0.8 assists. The Buckeyes receive 12.4 points, 5 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Justice Sueing. The Buckeyes receive 9 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Bruce Thornton.

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What you need to know about the Iowa Hawkeyes

Iowa has covered seven times in 14 games with a spread in conference play this season. The Hawkeyes sport a top-25 offense this year, ranking 22nd-best in college basketball with 80.6 points per game. Defensively, they rank 284th with 73.4 points allowed per contest. Iowa is 57th in the country with 34.2 boards per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 295th with 33 rebounds allowed per contest.

Offensively the Hawkeyes have fared better at home this year, putting up 89 points per game, compared to 70.9 per game away from home. Iowa is draining 7.8 three-pointers per game (136th-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 35% shooting percentage (143rd-ranked) from downtown. So far this year, the Hawkeyes are ceding 6.8 threes per game (131st-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 34.3% (225th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Hawkeyes have gone 7-3 over their past 10 contests, with a 6-3-1 record against the spread in that span. Iowa has gone over the total in seven of its past 10 games. Iowa has been scoring 78.9 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 80.6 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Iowa has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 74.6 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 73.4 it has surrendered this season.

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What you need to know about the Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State has covered just twice in 14 games with a spread in conference action this year. The Buckeyes score 73.7 points per game and allow 67.8, making them 136th in the nation offensively and 129th on defense. Ohio State grabs 35.2 rebounds per game and concede 30.8 boards, ranking 31st and 162nd, respectively, in college basketball.

In 2022-23 the Buckeyes are averaging 7.7 more points per game at home (75.3) than away (67.6). In 2022-23, Ohio State is 270th in the country in 3-point makes (6.6 per game) and 103rd in 3-point percentage (35.6%). The Buckeyes are 131st in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (6.8 per game) and 41st in 3-point percentage defensively (31%).

The Buckeyes have one win against the spread, and are 1-9 overall, over their past 10 contests. Ohio State has hit the over in three of its last 10 games. Over its past 10 games, Ohio State is putting up 64.7 points per contest, nine fewer points than its season average (73.7). Over their past 10 games, the Buckeyes are surrendering 70.6 points per game, 2.8 more points than their season average (67.8).

Iowa vs. Ohio State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Iowa, and we expect that Ohio State will cover the spread (Iowa -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 153.5 points.

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How to bet Iowa vs. Ohio State

You can bet on Iowa vs. Ohio State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Iowa vs. Ohio State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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