Iowa vs Illinois Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 4, 2023

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The Illinois Fighting Illini (16-6, 7-4 Big Ten) aim to extend a three-game road winning stretch at the Iowa Hawkeyes (14-8, 6-5 Big Ten) on Saturday, February 4, 2023, at 2:30 PM ET.

The Hawkeyes play the Fighting Illini in a game that Iowa is currently a small favorite by 3 points. The over/under is 154 points for the matchup.

Iowa vs. Illinois Odds

Point Spread for Iowa vs. Illinois

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing Iowa as the favorite.

Iowa vs. Illinois Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Iowa has -151 odds to pick up the win, while Illinois is listed at +128 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 154 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Location: Iowa City, Iowa
  • Arena: Carver-Hawkeye Arena

Iowa vs. Illinois Betting Trends

Iowa has played 22 games, with 14 wins against the spread. The Hawkeyes have won in 11, or 78.6%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Iowa’s games this year have gone over the total in 12 out of 22 opportunities (54.5%).

Illinois has played 22 games, with 14 wins, against the spread. The Fighting Illini have won two of the three games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (66.7%). Illinois’ games this season have hit the over on nine of 22 set point totals (40.9%).

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Iowa vs. Illinois Key Players to Watch


Kris Murray is tops on his squad in both points (20.6) and rebounds (8.6) per contest, and also averages 1.8 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.8 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. Filip Rebraca averages 14 points, 8.5 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. At the other end, he posts 0.5 steals and 1.4 blocked shots. Tony Perkins is putting up 10.6 points, 2.5 assists and 3.7 rebounds per contest. Payton Sandfort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.


Terrence Shannon Jr. is putting up a team-best 17.2 points per contest. And he is contributing 5.2 rebounds and 3.1 assists, making 44.3% of his shots from the floor and 32.2% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per game. Coleman Hawkins leads the Fighting Illini in rebounding (6.4 per game) and assists (3.3), and averages 9.5 points. He also averages 1 steal and 1.2 blocked shots. Matthew Mayer gives the Fighting Illini 11.5 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 1.4 blocked shots. Dain Dainja is averaging 9.8 points, 5.9 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game, making 68.7% of his shots from the floor (fourth in college basketball).

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What you need to know about the Iowa Hawkeyes

In Iowa’s 11 Big Ten games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total eight times. The Hawkeyes are allowing 73.3 points per game this year (284th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined on offense, averaging 81.5 points per game (18th-best). Iowa is pulling down 34.9 boards per game (42nd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 32.6 rebounds per contest (275th-ranked).

The Hawkeyes are posting 89.6 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 18.6 more points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (71). This season, Iowa is draining 8.1 treys per game (100th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.1% (132nd-ranked) from downtown. With 6.8 threes conceded per game, the Hawkeyes rank 130th in college basketball. They are allowing a 34.3% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 230th in college basketball.

The Hawkeyes are 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests. Seven of Iowa’s past 10 outings have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Iowa has been putting up 78.7 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 81.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Iowa’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 76.2 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 73.3 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois has compiled a 7-4-0 ATS record so far this year in conference games. The Fighting Illini put up 75 points per game and allow 63.3, making them 102nd in the nation offensively and 34th defensively. In 2022-23, Illinois is 20th-best in the nation in rebounds (36.2 per game) and 91st in rebounds allowed (29.6).

The Fighting Illini are scoring more points at home (77.9 per game) than on the road (68.2). Illinois makes 8.1 3-pointers per game and shoots 31.7% from beyond the arc, ranking 100th and 303rd, respectively, in college basketball. The Fighting Illini are the 25th-best team in the country in 3-pointers allowed (5.7 per game) and 108th in 3-point percentage defensively (32.1%).

The Fighting Illini are 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. Illinois has hit the over in three of its past 10 games. In its previous 10 games, Illinois is averaging 72 points per contest, three fewer points than its season average (75). Over their last 10 games, the Fighting Illini are allowing 61.7 points per contest, 1.6 fewer points than their season average (63.3).

Iowa vs. Illinois Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Iowa, and we project that Illinois will cover the spread (Iowa -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 154 points.

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How to bet Iowa vs. Illinois

You can bet on Iowa vs. Illinois at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Iowa vs. Illinois picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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