Indiana vs Penn State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Indiana Hoosiers (22-10, 12-8 Big Ten) will square off in the Big Ten Tournament against the No. 10 seed Penn State Nittany Lions (21-12, 10-10 Big Ten) on Saturday at United Center, tipping off at 3:30 PM.

The Hoosiers are currently small 4-point favorites against the Nittany Lions. The over/under is 139.5 points for the matchup.

Indiana vs. Penn State Odds

Point Spread for Indiana vs. Penn State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing Indiana as the favorite.

Indiana vs. Penn State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Indiana has -185 odds to pick up the win, while Penn State is listed at +156 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 139.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Arena: United Center

Indiana vs. Penn State Betting Trends

In Indiana’s 32 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread. The Hoosiers have come away with 17 wins in the 21 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Indiana’s games this year have hit the over on 18 of 33 set point totals.

Penn State has played 33 games, with 18 wins, against the spread. The Nittany Lions have won 42.9% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (6-8). Penn State’s games this season have gone over the total in 19 of 33 opportunities (57.6%).

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Indiana vs. Penn State Key Players to Watch


Trayce Jackson-Davis leads his team in points (20.7), rebounds (10.9) and assists (4) per contest, shooting 57.2% from the field. Defensively, he delivers 0.8 steals and 2.8 blocked shots (sixth in the nation). Jalen Hood-Schifino puts up 13.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Race Thompson averages 7.8 points, 5 rebounds and 1 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 0.9 steals and 1 block. Miller Kopp puts up 8 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he delivers 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Penn State

Jalen Pickett is No. 1 on the Nittany Lions in scoring (17.8 points per game), rebounding (7.4) and assists (6.8), making 52.3% from the field and 39.4% from 3-point range with 1.3 triples per game. He also posts 1 steal and 0.5 blocked shots. The Nittany Lions receive 14.2 points, 6.3 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game from Seth Lundy. Andrew Funk is averaging 12.3 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest, making 44.2% of his shots from the floor and 41.4% from beyond the arc, with 3 treys per contest. The Nittany Lions receive 8.8 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Camren Wynter.

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What you need to know about the Indiana Hoosiers

Indiana has compiled a 10-11-0 conference record against the spread this season. With 75.1 points per game on offense, the Hoosiers rank 99th in the country. Defensively, they give up 68.2 points per contest, which ranks 123rd in college basketball. Indiana ranks 96th in the country with 33.1 boards per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 159th with 30.8 rebounds allowed per game.

Indiana is making 5.8 treys per game this year (325th-ranked in college basketball), and it owns a 37.7% three-point percentage (23rd-best). This year, the Hoosiers are giving up 7.5 treys per game (214th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 33.2% (135th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Hoosiers are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 games. Indiana has hit the over in five of its past 10 games. In its last 10 games, Indiana has been putting up 69.7 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 75.1 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Indiana’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (70.1) is 1.9 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.2).

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What you need to know about the Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State has put together a 12-9-1 ATS record so far this season in conference action. At 72.4 points scored per game and 68.3 points allowed, the Nittany Lions are 162nd in the nation offensively and 125th on defense. On the boards, Penn State is 284th in college basketball in rebounds (29.9 per game). It is 285th in rebounds allowed (32.7 per game).

In 2022-23 Penn State is fourth-best in the country in 3-point makes (10.6 per game), and 10th-best in 3-point percentage (38.8%). The Nittany Lions give up 7.5 3-pointers per game and concede 34.1% from beyond the arc, ranking 214th and 199th, respectively, in the nation.

The Nittany Lions are 6-3-1 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. Seven of Penn State’s last 10 outings have hit the over. Penn State is scoring 72.1 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer points than its average for the season (72.4). The Nittany Lions have fared worse defensively in their past 10 games, giving up 70.3 points per contest, two more points their than season average of 68.3.

Indiana vs. Penn State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Indiana, and we expect that Penn State will cover the spread (Indiana -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 139.5 points.

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How to bet Indiana vs. Penn State

You can bet on Indiana vs. Penn State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Indiana vs. Penn State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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