Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, January 22, 2023

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The Michigan State Spartans’ (13-6, 5-3 Big Ten) Big Ten schedule includes Sunday’s game against the Indiana Hoosiers (12-6, 3-4 Big Ten) at Assembly Hall. It begins at 12:00 PM ET.

Indiana is a 4.5-point favorite against Michigan State when the Hoosiers take the court against the Spartans on Sunday. A 137.5-point total has been set for the matchup.

Indiana vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread for Indiana vs. Michigan State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Indiana as the favorite.

Indiana vs. Michigan State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Indiana has -196 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +164 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 137.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 22, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: Bloomington, Indiana
  • Arena: Assembly Hall

Indiana vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

Indiana has eight wins against the spread in 18 games this season. The Hoosiers have been favorites in 11 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (81.8%) in those contests. Indiana’s games this year have gone over the total in 11 out of 19 opportunities (57.9%).

Michigan State has played 19 games, with 11 wins, against the spread. The Spartans have been the underdog on the moneyline five total times this season. They’ve finished 2-3 in those games. Michigan State’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under nine times in 19 opportunities (47.4%).

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Indiana vs. Michigan State Key Players to Watch


Trayce Jackson-Davis puts up 18.6 points and 9.8 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also putting up 3.5 assists, shooting 61% from the field. Jalen Hood-Schifino paces his team in assists per contest (4.5), and also posts 13.2 points and 4.3 rebounds. At the other end, he puts up 1 steal and 0 blocked shots. Race Thompson puts up 8.4 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest. Defensively, he posts 0.8 steals and 1.4 blocked shots. Miller Kopp is putting up 8.3 points, 1 assists and 2.3 rebounds per game.

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard is putting up a team-leading 6.3 assists per game. And he is producing 12.7 points and 3.9 rebounds, making 42.1% of his shots from the floor. Joey Hauser leads the Spartans in rebounding (7.7 per game), and posts 13.4 points and 2.3 assists. He also posts 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Tyson Walker is posting team highs in points (14.6 per game) and assists (2.6). And he is contributing 2.5 rebounds, making 44.4% of his shots from the field and 42.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per contest. Mady Sissoko gives the Spartans 5.6 points, 6.9 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game. He also posts 0.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Indiana Hoosiers

This year, the Hoosiers are posting 79 points per game (37th-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 67.7 points per contest (136th-ranked). With 34.7 boards per game, Indiana ranks 61st in college basketball. It allows 29.6 rebounds per contest, which ranks 95th in college basketball.

Offensively the Hoosiers have played better at home this year, posting 83.5 points per game, compared to 71 per game in road games. With 6.5 three-pointers per game, Indiana is 280th in the country. It sports a 37% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 47th in college basketball. The Hoosiers are 257th in the nation with 7.8 threes allowed per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 246th with a 34.6% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Hoosiers have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests. Seven of Indiana’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Indiana’s offense has been worse over its last 10 games, scoring 76.4 points a contest compared to the 79 it has averaged this season. Indiana’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 73.5 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 67.7 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

At 69.7 points scored per game and 65 points allowed, the Spartans are 223rd in college basketball on offense and 67th defensively. Michigan State is 90th in the country in rebounds per game (34.1) and 127th in rebounds conceded (30.3).

At home, the Spartans average 69.9 points per game. Away, they average 63.5. Michigan State makes 7.2 3-pointers per game and shoots 37.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 212th and 32nd, respectively, in college basketball. In 2022-23 the Spartans are 108th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (6.6 per game) and 25th-best in defensive 3-point percentage (29.5%).

The Spartans have an 8-2 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in their past 10 contests. Michigan State has gone over the total in three of its past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Michigan State is scoring 69.2 points per contest, 0.5 fewer points than its season average (69.7). In their previous 10 games, the Spartans are allowing 60 points per game, five fewer points than their season average (65).

Indiana vs. Michigan State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Indiana, and we expect that Michigan State will cover the spread (Indiana -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137.5 points.

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How to bet Indiana vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Indiana vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Indiana vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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