Indiana vs Michigan Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

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The Indiana Hoosiers (20-10, 11-8 Big Ten) face the Michigan Wolverines (17-13, 11-8 Big Ten) on Sunday at 4:30 PM ET in Big Ten action, aiting on CBS.

Sunday’s matchup between the Hoosiers and the Wolverines features the Hoosiers as 3.5-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 144.5.

Indiana vs. Michigan Odds

Point Spread for Indiana vs. Michigan

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing Indiana as the favorite.

Indiana vs. Michigan Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Indiana has -180 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan is listed at +153 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 144.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Bloomington, Indiana
  • Arena: Assembly Hall

Indiana vs. Michigan Betting Trends

Indiana has played 30 games, with 14 wins against the spread. The Hoosiers have been favorites in 19 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (78.9%) in those contests. Indiana’s games this year have hit the over 56.7% of the time (17 out of 30 games with a set point total).

Michigan has played 30 games, with 16 wins, against the spread. The Wolverines have gone 2-10 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 16.7% of those games). Michigan’s games this year have gone over the total in 17 of 30 opportunities (56.7%).

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Indiana vs. Michigan Key Players to Watch


Trayce Jackson-Davis paces his team in points (20.3), rebounds (11.1) and assists (3.8) per game, shooting 57.6% from the field. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 2.8 blocked shots (fifth in the nation). Jalen Hood-Schifino posts a team-leading 3.8 assists per game. He is also averaging 13.4 points and 4.1 rebounds, shooting 42% from the floor and 35.6% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Race Thompson posts 7.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1 assists per game, shooting 46.7% from the field. Miller Kopp is posting 8 points, 1.1 assists and 2.4 rebounds per game.


Hunter Dickinson leads the Wolverines in scoring (18 points per game) and rebounding (8.9), and puts up 1.5 assists. He also puts up 0.5 steals and 1.6 blocked shots. Kobe Bufkin is posting 13.7 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest, making 48.1% of his shots from the field and 36.2% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per game. Jett Howard is posting 14.4 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2 assists per contest, making 41.8% of his shots from the floor and 36.9% from 3-point range, with 2.7 triples per game. Dug McDaniel is the Wolverines’ top assist man (3.5 per game), and he produces 8.2 points and 3 rebounds.

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What you need to know about the Indiana Hoosiers

A total of 10 out of Indiana’s 19 Big Ten games this season have hit the over. So far this season, the Hoosiers are averaging 75.3 points per game (98th-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 68.3 points per contest (127th-ranked). Indiana ranks 101st in the country with 33.1 rebounds per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 142nd with 30.5 rebounds allowed per contest.

The Hoosiers are scoring 80.4 points per game when playing at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 67.5 points per contest. With a 37.8% three-point percentage this season, Indiana is 22nd-best in the nation. It ranks 320th in college basketball by draining 5.9 threes per contest. So far this season, the Hoosiers are ceding 7.4 treys per game (202nd-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 33% (120th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Hoosiers are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Indiana has hit the over five times. On the offensive side of the ball, Indiana has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 69.3 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 75.3 it has put up over the course of this season. Indiana has been less stingy on defense lately, allowing 70.4 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 68.3 points per game its opponents average in the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Michigan Wolverines

Michigan has won 11 games against the spread this season in conference action, while failing to cover or pushing eight times. In 2022-23, the Wolverines are 127th in college basketball offensively (73.9 points scored per game) and 159th on defense (69.5 points allowed). Michigan collects 34 rebounds per game and give up 32.5 boards, ranking 56th and 278th, respectively, in the nation.

At home, the Wolverines score 75.8 points per game. Away, they score 68.7. With 7.7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc, Michigan is 139th and 165th in the nation, respectively, in those categories. The Wolverines give up 6.6 3-pointers per game and concede 31.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 99th and 66th, respectively, in the nation.

The Wolverines have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in their last 10 games. Six of Michigan’s past 10 games have hit the over. In its last 10 games, Michigan is averaging 73.5 points per game, 0.4 fewer points than its season average (73.9). While the Wolverines are ceding 69.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark over their previous 10 games, allowing 68.8 points per contest.

Indiana vs. Michigan Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Indiana, and we predict that Indiana will cover the spread (Indiana -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 144.5 points.

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How to bet Indiana vs. Michigan

You can bet on Indiana vs. Michigan at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Indiana vs. Michigan picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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