Illinois vs Minnesota Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, February 20, 2023

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The Illinois Fighting Illini (17-9, 8-7 Big Ten) aim to build on a three-game home winning run when hosting the Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-17, 1-13 Big Ten) on Monday, February 20, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET.

The Fighting Illini are currently double-digit 13.5-point favorites over the Golden Gophers. The over/under is 136 points for the game.

Illinois vs. Minnesota Odds

Point Spread for Illinois vs. Minnesota

The spread for this matchup is set at 13.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Illinois as the favorite.

Illinois vs. Minnesota Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Illinois has -1131 odds to pick up the win, while Minnesota is listed at +725 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 136 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, February 20, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: Champaign, Illinois
  • Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. Minnesota Betting Trends

Illinois has 17 wins against the spread in 26 games this season. The Fighting Illini have been favorites in 18 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (66.7%) in those contests. Illinois’ games this year have gone over the total in 11 out of 24 opportunities (45.8%).

Minnesota is 9-13-2 against the spread this season. The Golden Gophers have put together a 2-17 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 10.5% of those games). Minnesota’s games this season have gone over the total in eight of 24 opportunities (33.3%).

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Illinois vs. Minnesota Key Players to Watch

Illinois

Terrence Shannon Jr. leads his squad in both points (17.0) and assists (3.0) per contest, and also posts 5.0 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Coleman Hawkins paces his squad in both rebounds (6.5) and assists (3.1) per contest, and also posts 9.7 points. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.2 blocked shots. Matthew Mayer averages 12.2 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest, shooting 43.0% from the floor and 37.2% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Dain Dainja averages 10.3 points, 5.9 rebounds and 0.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he delivers 0.8 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.

Minnesota

Ta’Lon Cooper is the Golden Gophers’ top assist man (5.8 per game), and he produces 10.3 points and 4.3 rebounds. Dawson Garcia is No. 1 on the Golden Gophers in scoring (15.4 points per game) and rebounding (6.4), and puts up 1.7 assists. He also delivers 0.6 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Pharrel Payne gets the Golden Gophers 7.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He also posts 0.5 steals and 1.2 blocked shots. Jamison Battle gives the Golden Gophers 12.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He also posts 0.7 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Illinois Fighting Illini

In Illinois’ 15 Big Ten games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total five times. With 74.9 points per game on offense, the Fighting Illini rank 103rd in the nation. On defense, they cede 65.3 points per contest, which ranks 58th in college basketball. Illinois ranks 19th-best in the nation by grabbing 36.0 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 90th in college basketball (29.5 allowed per contest).

The Fighting Illini post 77.3 points per game when playing at home, compared to 71.1 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 6.2 points per contest. Illinois is sinking 7.8 three-pointers per game (136th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while owning a 31.2% three-point percentage (325th-ranked). This year, the Fighting Illini are allowing 5.9 threes per game (31st-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 33.0% (131st-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Fighting Illini are 8-2 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Illinois has hit the over four times. Illinois has seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 71.7 points per game in its last 10 outings, 3.2 points fewer than the 74.9 it has scored this year. Illinois’ points-allowed average over its last 10 games (67.8) is 2.5 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (65.3).

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What you need to know about the Minnesota Golden Gophers

In Minnesota’s 14 chances this year in Big Ten action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times. The Golden Gophers are the sixth-worst team in the country in points scored (61.2 per game) and 170th in points allowed (69.5). Minnesota is 241st in the nation in rebounds per game (30.8) and 326th in rebounds allowed (33.7).

The Golden Gophers are putting up fewer points at home (61.1 per game) than on the road (61.3). Minnesota is 322nd in the country in 3-pointers made (5.8 per game) and 18th-worst in 3-point percentage (30.2%). Giving up 6.9 3-pointers per game and conceding 35.7% from downtown, the Golden Gophers are 144th and 296th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

The Golden Gophers have a 3-5-2 record against the spread while finishing 1-9 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Minnesota has hit the over four times. Minnesota is scoring 56.9 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 4.3 fewer points than its average for the season (61.2). The Golden Gophers have performed worse defensively over their last 10 games, allowing 72.3 points per contest, 2.8 more points their than season average of 69.5.

Illinois vs. Minnesota Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Illinois, and we project that Illinois will cover the spread (Illinois -13.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 136 points.

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How to bet Illinois vs. Minnesota

You can bet on Illinois vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Illinois vs. Minnesota picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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