Illinois vs Michigan State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, January 13, 2023

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The Michigan State Spartans (12-4, 4-1 Big Ten) will look to extend a seven-game winning streak when hitting the road against the Illinois Fighting Illini (11-5, 2-3 Big Ten) on Friday, January 13, 2023 at State Farm Center. It airs at 9:00 PM ET.

The Fighting Illini are currently solid 6.5-point favorites against the Spartans. A 137-point over/under is set for the matchup.

Illinois vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread for Illinois vs. Michigan State

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Illinois as the favorite.

Illinois vs. Michigan State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Illinois has -279 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +226 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 137 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, January 13, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Location: Champaign, Illinois
  • Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

In the Illinois’ 16 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread. The Fighting Illini have been victorious in six of the 10 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Illinois’ games this year have gone over the total in seven out of 16 opportunities (43.8%).

Against the spread, Michigan State is 9-7-0 this season. The Spartans have been the underdog on the moneyline three total times this season. They’ve finished 2-1 in those games. Michigan State has eclipsed the over/under 50% of the time this year (eight of 16 games with a set point total).

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Illinois vs. Michigan State Key Players to Watch


Terrence Shannon Jr. leads the Fighting Illini with 18.1 points per contest and 3.3 assists, while also putting up 5.9 rebounds. Coleman Hawkins is tops on his squad in both rebounds (6.1) and assists (3.6) per contest, and also posts 10.1 points. At the other end, he puts up 1 steal and 1.2 blocked shots. Matthew Mayer averages 10.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 41.5% from the floor and 35.4% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest. Dain Dainja posts 9.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 0.4 assists per game, shooting 71.7% from the field (seventh in college basketball).

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard is posting a team-high 6.5 assists per game. And he is contributing 12 points and 4 rebounds, making 40.9% of his shots from the floor. Joey Hauser is posting a team-leading 7.8 rebounds per contest. And he is contributing 13.8 points and 2.4 assists, making 47.9% of his shots from the floor and 41.3% from 3-point range, with 1.9 treys per contest. Tyson Walker is No. 1 on the Spartans in scoring (13.9 points per game) and assists (3.1), and posts 2.3 rebounds. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. The Spartans get 6.3 points, 7.1 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game from Mady Sissoko.

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What you need to know about the Illinois Fighting Illini

The Fighting Illini are 73rd in college basketball with 76.9 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 46th with 63.8 points allowed per contest. Illinois ranks 22nd-best in the country by pulling down 36.6 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 103rd in college basketball (29.7 allowed per contest).

Illinois is making 9 threes per game (46th-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 33.2% shooting percentage (220th-ranked) from three-point land. This season, the Fighting Illini are allowing 6.2 treys per game (70th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 32.4% (147th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Fighting Illini are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Illinois has gone over the total three times. Illinois has been scoring 72.2 points per contest in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 76.9 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Illinois has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 65.1 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 63.8 it has conceded this year.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

In 2022-23, the Spartans are 216th in college basketball on offense (70.3 points scored per game) and 71st defensively (64.9 points conceded). In 2022-23, Michigan State is 105th in college basketball in rebounds (34.1 per game) and 123rd in rebounds allowed (30.1).

Michigan State makes 7.4 3-pointers per game and shoots 37.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 185th and 40th, respectively, in college basketball. Giving up 7.1 3-pointers per game and conceding 29.8% from downtown, the Spartans are 169th and 34th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

The Spartans have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Michigan State has gone over the total four times. Michigan State is scoring 68.6 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 1.7 fewer points than its average for the season (70.3). In their past 10 games, the Spartans are surrendering 62.1 points per game, 2.8 fewer points than their season average (64.9).

Illinois vs. Michigan State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Illinois, and we project that Michigan State will cover the spread (Illinois -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137 points.

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How to bet Illinois vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Illinois vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Illinois vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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