Houston vs Miami (FL) Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 24, 2023

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The No. 5 Miami Hurricanes (27-7) ready for a Sweet 16 matchup against the No. 1 Houston Cougars (33-3) on Friday at 7:15 PM as the NCAA Tournament continues live from T-Mobile Center and airing on CBS.

Friday’s matchup between the Cougars and the Hurricanes features the Cougars as strong 7.5-point favorites. The over/under is 139.5 points for the game.

Houston vs. Miami (FL) Odds

Point Spread for Houston vs. Miami (FL)

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with bookmakers listing Houston as the favorite.

Houston vs. Miami (FL) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Houston has -358 odds to pick up the win, while Miami (FL) is listed at +287 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 139.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 24, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Arena: T-Mobile Center

Houston vs. Miami (FL) Betting Trends

Houston is 19-16-1 against the spread this year. The Cougars have won in 28, or 90.3%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Houston’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 34 set point totals.

Against the spread, Miami (FL) is 20-14-0 this season. The Hurricanes have won five of the nine games they were the moneyline underdog this season (55.6%). Miami (FL)’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 44.1% of the time (15 out of 34 games with a set point total).

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Houston vs. Miami (FL) Key Players to Watch


Marcus Sasser paces his squad in both points (16.9) and assists (3.1) per game, and also puts up 2.8 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 1.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. J’wan Roberts posts a team-leading 7.8 rebounds per contest. In addition, he’s putting up 10.3 points and 1.2 assists, shooting 61.5% from the field. Jamal Shead puts up a team-high 5.4 assists per game. He is also posting 10.4 points and 3 rebounds, shooting 41.1% from the field and 31.4% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Jarace Walker puts up 11.1 points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. Defensively, he delivers 1 steal and 1.2 blocked shots.

Miami (FL)

Norchad Omier paces the Hurricanes in rebounding (10.1 per game), and averages 13.4 points and 1.2 assists. He also posts 1.1 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. The Hurricanes receive 15.1 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Jordan Miller. Nijel Pack gives the Hurricanes 13.4 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game. He also posts 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Houston Cougars

The Cougars have a top-25 defense this season, ranking second-best in college basketball with 56.6 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 98th with 74.9 points scored per contest. Houston has been thriving in terms of rebounding this year, ranking 14th-best in the country in rebounds per game (35.9) and 15th-best in rebounds allowed per contest (27.4).

Houston is 149th in college basketball with 7.6 threes per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 173rd with a 34.2% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. With a 27.4% three-point percentage allowed this season, the Cougars are second-best in the nation. They rank 51st in college basketball by giving up 6.2 three-pointers per contest.

The Cougars are 3-6-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their last 10 contests. Houston has gone over the total in four of its past 10 games. Houston has been scoring 72.5 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 74.9 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Houston has been more porous on defense as of late, allowing 59.6 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 56.6 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Miami Hurricanes

Offensively, the Hurricanes are the 25th-best squad in college basketball (79.1 points per game). On defense, they are 228th (71.6 points allowed per game). Miami (FL) collects 32.4 rebounds per game and concede 29.2 boards, ranking 134th and 61st, respectively, in the nation.

Miami (FL) makes 7.6 3-pointers per game and shoots 36.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 149th and 44th, respectively, in the nation. The Hurricanes are 230th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (7.6 per game) and 149th in 3-point percentage defensively (33.4%).

The Hurricanes have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Miami (FL) has hit the over five times. Miami (FL) is posting 80.7 points per game in its past 10 games, which is 1.6 more than its average for the season (79.1). The Hurricanes have performed worse defensively over their past 10 games, allowing 75.7 points per contest, 4.1 more points their than season average of 71.6.

Houston vs. Miami (FL) Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Houston, and we expect that Houston will cover the spread (Houston -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 139.5 points.

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How to bet Houston vs. Miami (FL)

You can bet on Houston vs. Miami (FL) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Houston vs. Miami (FL) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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