Houston vs Memphis Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 12, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Houston Cougars (31-2, 17-1 AAC) and the No. 2 Memphis Tigers (25-8, 13-5 AAC) will play to decide the AAC conference champion on Sunday at 3:15 PM.

Sunday’s matchup between the Cougars and the Tigers sees the Cougars as 5.5-point favorites. The game has a point total of 135.5.

Houston vs. Memphis Odds

Point Spread for Houston vs. Memphis

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Houston as the favorite.

Houston vs. Memphis Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Houston has -259 odds to pick up the win, while Memphis is listed at +211 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 135.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Arena: Dickies Arena

Houston vs. Memphis Betting Trends

In Houston’s 33 games this season, it has 18 wins against the spread. The Cougars have come away with 26 wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Houston’s games this year have hit the over on 14 of 33 set point totals.

Memphis has played 33 games, with 15 wins, against the spread. The Tigers have won two of the seven games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (28.6%). Memphis’ games this year have gone over the total in 18 of 33 opportunities (54.5%).

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Houston vs. Memphis Key Players to Watch

Houston

Marcus Sasser puts up 17.1 points and 3.2 assists per contest — both team highs. He is also putting up 2.8 rebounds, shooting 43.9% from the floor and 38.3% from downtown with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game. Jamal Shead averages a team-leading 5.5 assists per game. He is also putting up 10.2 points and 3.1 rebounds, shooting 42.4% from the floor and 33.3% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest. J’wan Roberts is tops on the Cougars at 7.4 rebounds per game, while also putting up 1 assists and 10.3 points. Jarace Walker posts 11 points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he puts up 1 steal and 1 block.

Memphis

DeAndre Williams paces the Tigers in rebounding (7.9 per game), and averages 17.9 points and 2.9 assists. He also averages 1.5 steals and 1 block. Elijah McCadden gets the Tigers 7.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. He also delivers 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Chandler Lawson gets the Tigers 5 points, 4.6 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest. He also posts 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Houston Cougars

In Houston’s 20 AAC games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times. The Cougars have been carried by their defense, as they rank second-best in the nation by allowing only 55.9 points per game. They rank 91st in college basketball in points scored (75.3 per contest). When it comes to rebounding, it’s been a dominant stretch for Houston, who is pulling down 35.9 boards per game (13th-best in college basketball) and allowing 27.2 boards per contest (13th-best).

With 7.8 treys per game, Houston ranks 126th in college basketball. It owns a 34.8% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 148th in college basketball. The Cougars are allowing 6.3 treys per game this year (64th-ranked in college basketball), and they are allowing a 27.5% three-point percentage (second-best).

The Cougars are 4-5-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Houston has hit the over four times. Houston has been scoring 75.7 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little higher than the 75.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Houston has been less stingy on defense as of late, giving up 57.7 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 55.9 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Memphis Tigers

A total of 10 Memphis conference games this year have hit the over. The Tigers are the 19th-best team in college basketball in points scored (79.9 per game) and 247th in points conceded (72.2). Memphis collects 32.2 rebounds per game and give up 31.3 boards, ranking 151st and 192nd, respectively, in the nation.

Beyond the arc, Memphis is 300th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (6.2). It is 114th in 3-point percentage at 35.3%. In 2022-23, the Tigers are 275th in the country in 3-pointers allowed (8 per game) and 37th in defensive 3-point percentage (31%).

The Tigers have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games, with a 6-3-1 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 contests, Memphis has hit the over four times. While Memphis is averaging 79.9 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its past 10 games, producing 79.3 points per contest. The Tigers have played better defensively in their last 10 games, giving up 70.3 points per contest, 1.9 fewer points than their season average of 72.2 allowed.

Houston vs. Memphis Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Houston, and we project that Houston will cover the spread (Houston -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 135.5 points.

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How to bet Houston vs. Memphis

You can bet on Houston vs. Memphis at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Houston vs. Memphis picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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