Download App
The No. 1 seed Houston Cougars (30-2, 17-1 AAC) and the No. 4 seed Cincinnati Bearcats (21-11, 11-7 AAC) will try to advance in the AAC tournament on Saturday as they square off at 3:00 PM.
The Cougars play the Bearcats in a game that Houston is currently a solid favorite by 9.5 points. The point total for the game is 135.5.
Houston vs. Cincinnati Odds
Point Spread for Houston vs. Cincinnati
The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with bookmakers listing Houston as the favorite.
Houston vs. Cincinnati Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Houston has -540 odds to pick up the win, while Cincinnati is listed at +396 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 135.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Location: Fort Worth, Texas
- Arena: Dickies Arena
Houston vs. Cincinnati Betting Trends
In Houston’s 32 games this season, it has 17 wins against the spread. The Cougars have been favorites in 27 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (92.6%) in those contests. Houston’s games this year have hit the over on 14 of 31 set point totals.
Against the spread, Cincinnati is 21-10-0 this season. The Bearcats have put together a 1-7 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 12.5% of those games). Cincinnati’s games this season have gone over the total in 16 of 31 opportunities (51.6%).
Houston vs. Cincinnati Key Players to Watch
Houston
Marcus Sasser averages a team-best 17.5 points per contest. He is also totaling 2.9 rebounds and 3.3 assists, shooting 43.8% from the floor and 38.4% from beyond the arc with 2.8 made 3-pointers per game. Jamal Shead is tops on his squad in assists per contest (5.3), and also averages 10 points and 3.1 rebounds. Defensively, he posts 1.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. J’wan Roberts is tops on his team in rebounds per contest (7.3), and also averages 10.1 points and 1.1 assists. At the other end, he delivers 0.8 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. Jarace Walker averages 10.9 points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest, shooting 47.2% from the field.
Cincinnati
Landers Nolley II is posting a team-high 16.7 points per game. And he is contributing 5.6 rebounds and 2.7 assists, making 46.2% of his shots from the floor and 42.6% from 3-point range, with 2.7 triples per game. David Dejulius is putting up a team-leading 5.2 assists per contest. He’s also delivering 14.8 points and 2.2 rebounds, hitting 43.5% of his shots from the field, and 36.8% from 3-point range resulting in 1.8 triples per game. Viktor Lakhin tops the Bearcats in rebounding (7 per game), and posts 11.9 points and 0.6 assists. He also delivers 1.2 steals and 1.4 blocked shots. Jeremiah Davenport gets the Bearcats 9.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
What you need to know about the Houston Cougars
Houston is 8-10-1 ATS in conference play this season. The Cougars are posting 75.5 points per game this season (87th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined defensively, surrendering just 56.2 points per contest (second-best). Houston has been shining when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking 16th-best in the nation in boards per game (35.8) and 13th-best in boards allowed per contest (27.1).
With 8 treys per game, Houston is 105th in college basketball. It has a 35.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 126th in college basketball. The Cougars rank second-best in college basketball by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 27.7% to opposing teams. They rank 63rd in college basketball by ceding 6.3 threes per contest.
The Cougars have a 3-6-1 record against the spread while finishing 10-0 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Houston has gone over the total four times. Houston has seen an uptick in scoring lately, putting up 75.8 points per game in its last 10 outings, 0.3 points more than the 75.5 it has scored this season. Houston’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (59) is 2.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (56.2).
What you need to know about the Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati’s conference games have hit the over nine out of 19 times this year. The Bearcats put up 78.1 points per game and allow 69.2, ranking them 36th in the country on offense and 151st defensively. Cincinnati is 53rd in college basketball in rebounds per game (34) and 176th in rebounds conceded (31).
Cincinnati is 30th in the nation in 3-pointers made (9.1 per game) and 78th in 3-point percentage (36.1%). The Bearcats are 28th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (5.9 per game) and 66th in 3-point percentage defensively (31.9%).
The Bearcats are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Cincinnati has hit the over six times. Cincinnati is tallying 81.8 points per game in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 78.1. Over their previous 10 games, the Bearcats are surrendering 71.8 points per game, 2.6 more points than their season average (69.2).
Houston vs. Cincinnati Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this game is Houston, and we predict that Cincinnati will cover the spread (Houston -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 135.5 points.
How to bet Houston vs. Cincinnati
You can bet on Houston vs. Cincinnati at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Houston vs. Cincinnati picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.
Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.