Gonzaga vs TCU Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 19, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (29-5) will attempt to book a trip to the Sweet 16 in an NCAA Tournament second round matchup against the No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs (22-12) on Sunday at Ball Arena, beginning at 9:40 PM.

The Bulldogs are currently 4.5-point favorites against the Horned Frogs. The over/under for the game is set at 153.

Gonzaga vs. TCU Odds

Point Spread for Gonzaga vs. TCU

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing Gonzaga as the favorite.

Gonzaga vs. TCU Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Gonzaga has -198 odds to pick up the win, while TCU is listed at +165 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 153 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Gonzaga vs. TCU Betting Trends

In Gonzaga’s 33 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread. The Bulldogs have come away with 25 wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Gonzaga’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 55.9% of the time (19 out of 34 games with a set point total).

TCU is 16-18-0 against the spread this season. The Horned Frogs have been the underdog on the moneyline 12 total times this season. They’ve finished 5-7 in those games. TCU has hit the over 47.1% of the time this year (16 of 34 games with a set point total).

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Gonzaga vs. TCU Key Players to Watch


Drew Timme leads his team in both points (20.9) and rebounds (7.3) per contest, and also averages 3.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1 block. Julian Strawther is posting 15.5 points, 1.3 assists and 6.1 rebounds per game. Anton Watson is posting 11.4 points, 2.4 assists and 5.9 rebounds per game. Nolan Hickman averages a team-best 3.2 assists per game. He is also putting up 8.4 points and 2.6 rebounds, shooting 44% from the floor and 37.7% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest.


Damion Baugh is posting a team-best 5.9 assists per contest. And he is delivering 12.5 points and 4.6 rebounds, making 42.5% of his shots from the floor. Emanuel Miller is averaging a team-leading 6.6 rebounds per game. And he is contributing 12.3 points and 1.8 assists, making 50.8% of his shots from the floor. Mike Miles is the Horned Frogs’ top scorer (17.6 points per game), and he delivers 2.6 assists and 2.8 rebounds. The Horned Frogs get 8.6 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from JaKobe Coles.

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What you need to know about the Gonzaga Bulldogs

The Bulldogs are ceding 72.8 points per game this season (263rd-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined on offense, scoring 87.4 points per game (best). Gonzaga ranks 64th in the country with 33.7 boards per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 31st with 28.2 rebounds allowed per contest.

Gonzaga ranks third-best in the country with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.9%. It ranks 134th in college basketball by draining 7.7 three-pointers per contest. The Bulldogs are 291st in the nation with 8.2 threes allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 247th with a 34.7% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Bulldogs have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall over their past 10 games. Seven of Gonzaga’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. On the offensive side of the ball, Gonzaga has increased its output a little bit over its last 10 games, scoring 91.3 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 87.4 it has racked up over the course of this season. Gonzaga’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (71.4) is 1.4 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (72.8).

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What you need to know about the TCU Horned Frogs

With 75.1 points scored per game and 68 points conceded, the Horned Frogs are 93rd in the nation offensively and 118th defensively. TCU is 85th in college basketball in rebounds per game (33.3) and 217th in rebounds allowed (31.7).

TCU is the 21st-worst squad in college basketball in 3-pointers made (5.5 per game) and 20th-worst in 3-point percentage (30.8%). In 2022-23, the Horned Frogs are 52nd in the country in 3-pointers allowed (6.2 per game) and 31st in defensive 3-point percentage (30.8%).

The Horned Frogs have a 3-7 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their last 10 contests. TCU has hit the over twice in its past 10 contests. Over its last 10 games, TCU is putting up 71.5 points per game, 3.6 fewer points than its season average (75.1). While the Horned Frogs are ceding 68 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their past 10 games, allowing 71.2 points per contest.

Gonzaga vs. TCU Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Gonzaga, and we predict that Gonzaga will cover the spread (Gonzaga -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 153 points.

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How to bet Gonzaga vs. TCU

You can bet on Gonzaga vs. TCU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Gonzaga vs. TCU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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