Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s (CA) Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, February 25, 2023

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The Gonzaga Bulldogs (24-5, 13-2 WCC) will try to build on a five-game winning streak when they host the Saint Mary’s Gaels (25-5, 14-1 WCC) at 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 25, 2023. The Gaels have won four games in a row.

The Bulldogs match up against the Gaels in a game that Gonzaga is currently a favorite by 6 points. The over/under is 141 points for the game.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Odds

Point Spread for Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with oddsmakers listing Gonzaga as the favorite.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Gonzaga has -272 odds to pick up the win, while Saint Mary’s (CA) is listed at +220 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 141 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 25, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Spokane, Washington
  • Arena: McCarthey Athletic Center

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Betting Trends

Gonzaga is 11-17-0 against the spread this season. The Bulldogs have been victorious in 20, or 87%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Gonzaga’s games this year have gone over the total in 17 out of 29 opportunities (58.6%).

Against the spread, Saint Mary’s (CA) is 17-11-1 this season. The Gaels have been listed as the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and they split the games. Saint Mary’s (CA)’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 14 times in 29 opportunities (48.3%).

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Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Key Players to Watch


Drew Timme puts up 21.3 points and 7.6 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also posting 3.2 assists, shooting 61.6% from the floor. Julian Strawther puts up 15.6 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.0 assists per contest, shooting 49.2% from the field and 44.2% from downtown with 2.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Anton Watson is posting 11.0 points, 2.1 assists and 5.6 rebounds per contest. Rasir Bolton puts up 11.0 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game, shooting 45.1% from the floor and 38.5% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest.

Saint Mary’s (CA)

Logan Johnson is the Gaels’ top assist man (3.7 per game), and he delivers 14.2 points and 4.9 rebounds. Mitchell Saxen is putting up a team-high 8.3 rebounds per contest. And he is delivering 12.2 points and 1.8 assists, making 54.8% of his shots from the field. Aidan Mahaney is recording a team-best 14.8 points per game. And he is contributing 2.4 rebounds and 2.0 assists, sinking 44.4% of his shots from the field, and 40.7% from 3-point range tallying 2.3 triples per contest. Kyle Bowen gives the Gaels 5.4 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. He also posts 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Gonzaga Bulldogs

Gonzaga has covered seven times in 15 chances against the spread in conference play this season. The Bulldogs have been led by their offense, as they rank best in the country by averaging 87.8 points per game. They rank 295th in college basketball in points allowed (74.1 per contest). This season, Gonzaga is averaging 33.8 rebounds per game (66th-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 28.6 rebounds per contest (47th-ranked).

The Bulldogs put up 93.2 points per game in home games, compared to 84.8 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 8.4 points per contest. Gonzaga ranks 19th-best in college basketball with a three-point shooting percentage of 37.9%. It ranks 161st in college basketball by making 7.6 three-pointers per contest. The Bulldogs are ceding 8.1 treys per game (287th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 34.5% (233rd-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Bulldogs have gone 8-2 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. Seven of Gonzaga’s past 10 games have hit the over. Gonzaga has seen an increase in scoring lately, racking up 89.5 points per game in its last 10 outings, 1.7 points more than the 87.8 it has scored this season. Gonzaga’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (76.0) is 1.9 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (74.1).

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What you need to know about the Saint Mary’s Gaels

Saint Mary’s (CA)’s conference games have hit the over eight out of 15 times this season. In 2022-23, the Gaels are 174th in the country on offense (72.0 points scored per game) and fifth-best defensively (58.7 points conceded). Saint Mary’s (CA) is 95th in the country in rebounds per game (33.3) and third-best in rebounds allowed (25.8).

At home the Gaels are scoring 74.8 points per game, 4.5 more than they are averaging on the road (70.3). Saint Mary’s (CA) is 121st in the country in 3-pointers made (7.9 per game) and 45th in 3-point percentage (37.0%). Defensively, the Gaels are ninth-best in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 5.3. They are 78th in 3-point percentage conceded at 32.1%.

The Gaels have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 9-1 overall in their past 10 games. Five of Saint Mary’s (CA)’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. While Saint Mary’s (CA) is scoring 72.0 points per game in 2022-23, it has improved that mark over its previous 10 games, amassing 72.4 a contest. The Gaels have fared worse defensively in their previous 10 games, allowing 60.5 points per contest, 1.8 more points their than season average of 58.7.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Gonzaga, and we predict that Saint Mary’s (CA) will cover the spread (Gonzaga -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 141 points.

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How to bet Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)

You can bet on Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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