Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s (CA) Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, March 7, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (27-5, 14-2 WCC) is set to square off against the top-seeded Saint Mary’s Gaels (26-6, 14-2 WCC) in the WCC Tournament Championship with an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket up for grabs. The contest on Tuesday at Orleans Arena begins at 9:00 PM.

The Bulldogs square off with the Gaels in a game that Gonzaga is currently a small favorite by 2.5 points. The over/under is 141 points for the matchup.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Odds

Point Spread for Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Gonzaga as the favorite.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Gonzaga has -151 odds to pick up the win, while Saint Mary’s (CA) is listed at +128 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 141 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Arena: Orleans Arena

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Betting Trends

Gonzaga is 13-18-0 against the spread this season. The Bulldogs have won in 23, or 88.5%, of the 26 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Gonzaga has eclipsed the over/under in 61.3% of its opportunities this year (19 times in 31 games with a set point total).

Saint Mary’s (CA) is 17-12-2 against the spread this year. The Gaels have won one of the three games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%). Saint Mary’s (CA)’s games this season have hit the over on 16 of 31 set point totals (51.6%).

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Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Key Players to Watch


Drew Timme paces the Bulldogs with 21 points per game and 7.4 rebounds, while also posting 3.2 assists. Julian Strawther posts 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 48.2% from the floor and 42.5% from downtown with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game. Anton Watson puts up 11.4 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest, shooting 61.3% from the field. Rasir Bolton is posting 10.7 points, 2.6 assists and 1.9 rebounds per contest.

Saint Mary’s (CA)

Logan Johnson is averaging a team-high 3.7 assists per contest. And he is contributing 14.5 points and 4.8 rebounds, making 45.9% of his shots from the field and 30.6% from beyond the arc, with 1 trey per contest. Mitchell Saxen is the Gaels’ top rebounder (7.9 per game), and he produces 11.8 points and 1.7 assists. Aidan Mahaney is putting up team highs in points (14.7 per game) and assists (2.1). And he is contributing 2.3 rebounds, making 44.1% of his shots from the floor and 41.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 treys per contest. Kyle Bowen is averaging 5.4 points, 7.3 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, making 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 40% from 3-point range, with 1 triples per game.

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What you need to know about the Gonzaga Bulldogs

Gonzaga has won eight games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover nine times. The Bulldogs are giving up 73.6 points per game this season (281st-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really played well offensively, averaging 87.8 points per game (best). Gonzaga is pulling down 33.6 rebounds per game (69th-ranked in college basketball). It is ceding 28.5 rebounds per contest (43rd-ranked).

With a 38.3% three-point percentage this season, Gonzaga is 15th-best in the country. It ranks 130th in college basketball by sinking 7.8 three-pointers per contest. The Bulldogs rank 305th in the country with 8.3 three-pointers allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 247th with a 34.8% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Bulldogs are 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 contests. Gonzaga has hit the over in eight of its past 10 outings. On offense, Gonzaga has increased its output a little bit over its last 10 games, scoring 91.2 points per contest over that span compared to the 87.8 it has racked up over the course of this year. Gonzaga’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (74.1) is 0.5 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (73.6).

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What you need to know about the Saint Mary’s Gaels

Saint Mary’s (CA) and its opponents have combined to go over the point total 10 out of 17 times this season in WCC action. In 2022-23, the Gaels are 177th in college basketball offensively (72 points scored per game) and fifth-best on defense (59.6 points conceded). In 2022-23, Saint Mary’s (CA) is 113th in college basketball in rebounds (32.8 per game) and third-best in rebounds conceded (25.9).

Saint Mary’s (CA) is 118th in the country in 3-pointers made (7.9 per game) and 33rd in 3-point percentage (37.4%). In 2022-23 the Gaels are ninth-best in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (5.3 per game) and 65th in defensive 3-point percentage (31.9%).

The Gaels are 3-6-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests. Saint Mary’s (CA) has hit the over in six of its past 10 contests. Saint Mary’s (CA) is averaging 71.8 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 0.2 fewer points than its average for the season (72). Over their previous 10 games, the Gaels are surrendering 64.9 points per contest, 5.3 more points than their season average (59.6).

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Gonzaga, and we predict that Saint Mary’s (CA) will cover the spread (Gonzaga -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 141 points.

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How to bet Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)

You can bet on Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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