Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Florida Atlantic Owls (28-3, 18-2 C-USA) will head into C-USA Tournament against the No. 8 seed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (17-15, 8-12 C-USA) on Thursday at Ford Center at The Star, starting at 6:30 PM.

Florida Atlantic is a strong 10-point favorite against Western Kentucky when the Owls hit the court against the Hilltoppers on Thursday. The matchup has a point total of 139.5.

Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky Odds

Point Spread for Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with bookmakers listing Florida Atlantic as the favorite.

Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Florida Atlantic has -587 odds to pick up the win, while Western Kentucky is listed at +430 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 139.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Frisco, Texas
  • Arena: Ford Center at The Star

Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky Betting Trends

In Florida Atlantic’s 29 games this season, it has 19 wins against the spread. The Owls have come away with 24 wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Florida Atlantic has hit the over in 56.7% of its opportunities this year (17 times in 30 games with a set point total).

In Western Kentucky’s 30 games this year, it has 13 wins against the spread. The Hilltoppers have won 25% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (3-9). Western Kentucky has eclipsed the over/under 56.7% of the time this year (17 of 30 games with a set point total).

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Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky Key Players to Watch

Florida Atlantic

Johnell Davis averages 13.2 points and 1.5 assists per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 5.2 rebounds, shooting 48.9% from the field and 41% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest. Vladislav Goldin leads his squad in rebounds per game (6.5), and also puts up 10.9 points and 0.5 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.4 steals and 1.1 blocked shots. Alijah Martin posts 12.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 43.3% from the field and 36.1% from downtown with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game. Nicholas Boyd puts up 9.1 points, 4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0 blocked shots.

Western Kentucky

Jamarion Sharp is the Hilltoppers’ top rebounder (7.5 per game), and he produces 7.6 points and 0.2 assists. Jairus Hamilton is posting 9.5 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, making 47.1% of his shots from the floor and 36.4% from 3-point range, with 1.2 treys per game. The Hilltoppers receive 10.2 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Emmanuel Akot.

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What you need to know about the Florida Atlantic Owls

Florida Atlantic has won 11 games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover nine times. On offense, the Owls are posting 79.3 points per game (27th-ranked in college basketball). They are ceding 65.7 points per contest at the other end (57th-ranked). Florida Atlantic ranks 27th in the nation with 35.2 boards per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 96th with 29.8 rebounds allowed per contest.

Florida Atlantic is thriving in terms of three-point shooting, as it ranks ninth-best in college basketball in treys (10.1 per game) and 21st-best in shooting percentage from beyond the arc (37.8%). With 6.5 treys conceded per game, the Owls rank 83rd in college basketball. They are ceding a 33.3% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 145th in college basketball.

The Owls have gone 8-2 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Florida Atlantic has gone over the total in seven of its past 10 contests. In its last 10 games, Florida Atlantic has been scoring 82.4 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 79.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Florida Atlantic’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has given up 70.2 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 65.7 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

So far this season, 13 out of Western Kentucky’s 21 C-USA games with an over/under have hit the over. The Hilltoppers are 177th in the country in points scored (72 per game) and 190th in points allowed (70.5). Western Kentucky is 232nd in the country in rebounds per game (31) and 299th in rebounds allowed (33).

Beyond the arc, Western Kentucky is 156th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (7.6). It is 61st in 3-point percentage at 36.5%. The Hilltoppers are the eighth-worst squad in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (9.3 per game) and 317th in 3-point percentage defensively (36.2%).

The Hilltoppers have gone 6-4 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 contests, Western Kentucky has gone over the total seven times. Western Kentucky has played worse offensively in its previous 10 games, generating 70.4 points per contest, 1.6 fewer points its than season average of 72. The Hilltoppers have played worse defensively over their past 10 games, surrendering 72.3 points per contest, 1.8 more points their than season average of 70.5.

Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Florida Atlantic, and we predict that Florida Atlantic will cover the spread (Florida Atlantic -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 139.5 points.

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How to bet Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky

You can bet on Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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