Duke vs Pittsburgh Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Wednesday, January 11, 2023

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The Duke Blue Devils (12-4, 3-2 ACC) welcome in the Pittsburgh Panthers (11-5, 4-1 ACC) after winning nine straight home games. It begins at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, January 11, 2023.

The Blue Devils face the Panthers in a game that Duke is currently a strong favorite by 8.5 points. The matchup’s over/under is 142.5.

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Point Spread for Duke vs. Pittsburgh

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Duke as the favorite.

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -420 odds to pick up the win, while Pittsburgh is listed at +325 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 142.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, January 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Durham, North Carolina
  • Arena: Cameron Indoor Stadium

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Betting Trends

Duke has played 16 games, with seven wins against the spread. The Blue Devils have won in 11, or 73.3%, of the 15 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Duke’s games this year have gone over the total in six out of 16 opportunities (37.5%).

Pittsburgh is 11-5-0 against the spread this season. The Panthers have won five of the nine games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (55.6%). Pittsburgh’s games this season have hit the over on 11 of 16 set point totals (68.8%).

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Duke vs. Pittsburgh Key Players to Watch

Duke

Kyle Filipowski is tops on his squad in both points (13.9) and rebounds (8.6) per game, and also puts up 1.4 assists. At the other end, he puts up 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Ryan Young posts 8.3 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. Defensively, he puts up 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Jeremy Roach leads his team in assists per contest (3.2), and also posts 11.9 points and 2.5 rebounds. Defensively, he totals 1.1 steals and 0 blocked shots. Mark Mitchell puts up 9.8 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 52.3% from the field.

Pittsburgh

Blake Hinson is No. 1 on the Panthers in scoring (16.8 points per game) and rebounding (7), and puts up 1.6 assists. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. The Panthers get 16.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game from Jamarius Burton. Nelly Cummings is No. 1 on the Panthers in assists (5 per game), and produces 10.6 points and 2.6 rebounds. He also puts up 1 steal and 0.1 blocked shots. Greg Elliott gives the Panthers 10.4 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1 assists per contest. He also posts 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

So far this year, the Blue Devils are scoring 72.4 points per game (167th-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 62.5 points per contest (33rd-ranked). Duke ranks 22nd-best in the nation by allowing only 27.8 rebounds per game. It ranks 43rd in college basketball by averaging 35.8 rebounds per contest.

Duke is 240th in the country with 6.9 threes per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 244th with a 32.6% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. The Blue Devils are ceding 5.7 treys per game (33rd-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 29.1% (26th-ranked) from downtown.

The Blue Devils have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. Five of Duke’s past 10 outings have gone over the total. Duke’s offense has been less productive over its last 10 games, racking up 72 points a contest compared to the 72.4 it has averaged this season. Duke has been less stingy on defense as of late, giving up 68.3 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 62.5 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Pittsburgh Panthers

On offense the Panthers are the 115th-ranked team in the country (75.2 points per game). Defensively they are 160th (68.2 points conceded per game). Pittsburgh is 38th in college basketball in rebounds per game (36.1) and 175th in rebounds allowed (31).

At home, the Panthers average 76.3 points per game. On the road, they score 78.3. With 8.8 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc, Pittsburgh is 58th and 167th in the country, respectively, in those categories. The Panthers give up 7.1 3-pointers per game and concede 30.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 171st and 64th, respectively, in the country.

The Panthers have gone 8-2 over their past 10 contests, with a 9-1 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 contests, Pittsburgh has hit the over eight times. Pittsburgh has played better offensively in its past 10 games, averaging 78.4 points per contest, 3.2 more than its season average of 75.2. While the Panthers are ceding 68.2 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 67.5 points per contest.

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Duke, and we predict that Pittsburgh will cover the spread (Duke -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 142.5 points.

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How to bet Duke vs. Pittsburgh

You can bet on Duke vs. Pittsburgh at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. Pittsburgh picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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