Duke vs Pittsburgh Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 4 seed Duke Blue Devils (23-8, 14-6 ACC) will take the court in the ACC Tournament against the No. 5 seed Pittsburgh Panthers (22-10, 14-6 ACC). The teams will face off Thursday at 2:30 PM live on ESPN2.

The Blue Devils are currently 5.5-point favorites against the Panthers. The over/under for the matchup is set at 138.5.

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Point Spread for Duke vs. Pittsburgh

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with bookmakers listing Duke as the favorite.

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -233 odds to pick up the win, while Pittsburgh is listed at +191 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Greensboro, North Carolina
  • Arena: Greensboro Coliseum

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Betting Trends

In Duke’s 31 games this year, it has 12 wins against the spread. The Blue Devils have been victorious in 21, or 80.8%, of the 26 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Duke’s games this year have gone over the total in 12 out of 32 opportunities (37.5%).

Pittsburgh is 22-10-0 against the spread this year. The Panthers have won 50% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (7-7). Pittsburgh has hit the over 62.5% of the time this year (20 of 32 games with a set point total).

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Duke vs. Pittsburgh Key Players to Watch


Kyle Filipowski posts 15 points and 9.2 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also posting 1.5 assists, shooting 42.4% from the field. Jeremy Roach leads his squad in assists per game (3.2), and also posts 13.1 points and 2.4 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 1 steal and 0 blocked shots. Ryan Young is posting 7.1 points, 1.3 assists and 6.2 rebounds per game. Mark Mitchell is posting 9.1 points, 1.2 assists and 4.4 rebounds per contest.


Blake Hinson is putting up team highs in points (15.9 per game) and rebounds (6.4). And he is delivering 1.3 assists, making 43.2% of his shots from the floor and 38.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 triples per contest. Jamarius Burton is posting 15.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest, making 50% of his shots from the field. Nelly Cummings is No. 1 on the Panthers in assists (4.8 per game), and produces 11.3 points and 2.7 rebounds. He also delivers 0.7 steals and 0 blocked shots. The Panthers get 7.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game from Fede Federiko.

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What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

Duke has won six games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover 14 times. Offensively, the Blue Devils are putting up 71.8 points per game (181st-ranked in college basketball). They are ceding 63.8 points per contest at the other end of the court (30th-ranked). Duke is allowing 28.1 rebounds per game this season (30th-ranked in college basketball), but it has shined by pulling down 36.3 rebounds per game (10th-best).

With 6.8 treys per game, Duke ranks 243rd in the nation. It sports a 32.9% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 252nd in college basketball. So far this year, the Blue Devils are allowing 6.2 treys per game (51st-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 30.6% (28th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Blue Devils have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Four of Duke’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Duke has seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 69.7 points per game in its last 10 contests, 2.1 points fewer than the 71.8 it has scored this year. Duke has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 65 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 63.8 points per game its opponents average in the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Pittsburgh Panthers

A total of 13 Pittsburgh conference games this season have hit the over. The Panthers are 73rd in the nation in points scored (76.3 per game) and 163rd in points conceded (69.7). With 33.5 rebounds per game and 31.4 rebounds conceded, Pittsburgh is 76th and 198th in the country, respectively.

Pittsburgh is the 24th-best team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (9.3 per game) and 70th in 3-point percentage (36.2%). In 2022-23, the Panthers are 244th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (7.7 per game) and 129th in defensive 3-point percentage (33.1%).

The Panthers have gone 7-3 over their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. Seven of Pittsburgh’s past 10 outings have hit the over. Over its last 10 games, Pittsburgh is averaging 80.9 points per game, 4.6 more than its season average (76.3). The Panthers are surrendering 73 points per contest in their last 10 games, which is 3.3 more points than they are allowing for the season (69.7).

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Duke, and we project that Pittsburgh will cover the spread (Duke -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138.5 points.

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How to bet Duke vs. Pittsburgh

You can bet on Duke vs. Pittsburgh at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. Pittsburgh picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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