Duke vs NC State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, January 4, 2023

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The NC State Wolf Pack (11-4, 1-3 ACC) will look to build on a four-game home winning run when squaring off against the Duke Blue Devils (11-3, 2-1 ACC) on Wednesday, January 4, 2023 at PNC Arena, airing at 7:00 PM ET.

Duke is a 4.5-point favorite against NC State when the Blue Devils play the Wolf Pack on Wednesday. The matchup’s over/under is 144.5.

Duke vs. NC State Odds

Point Spread for Duke vs. NC State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing Duke as the favorite.

Duke vs. NC State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -205 odds to pick up the win, while NC State is listed at +169 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 144.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, January 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
  • Arena: PNC Arena

Duke vs. NC State Betting Trends

Duke has seven wins against the spread in 14 games this season. The Blue Devils have been victorious in 10, or 76.9%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Duke’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 40% of the time (six out of 15 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, NC State is 6-7-2 this season. The Wolf Pack have been the underdog on the moneyline four total times this season. They’ve gone 1-3 in those games. NC State’s games this season have gone over the total in eight of 15 opportunities (53.3%).

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Duke vs. NC State Key Players to Watch


Kyle Filipowski paces his team in both points (13.8) and rebounds (8.6) per contest, and also averages 1.4 assists. Defensively, he posts 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Ryan Young averages 8.1 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 75% from the field. Jeremy Roach paces the Blue Devils at 3.4 assists per contest, while also putting up 2.5 rebounds and 12.5 points. Mark Mitchell averages 9.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he posts 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

NC State

Jarkel Joiner is putting up 15.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest, making 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 35.1% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per contest. Jack Clark is No. 1 on the Wolf Pack in rebounding (7.1 per game), and produces 9.1 points and 1.8 assists. He also averages 1.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. The Wolf Pack receive 13.5 points, 4.7 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game from Casey Morsell.

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What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

The Blue Devils have been lifted by their defense, as they rank 23rd-best in the nation by surrendering only 60.9 points per game. They rank 147th in college basketball in points scored (73.9 per contest). Duke ranks 19th-best in the nation by allowing only 27.1 rebounds per game. It ranks 42nd in college basketball by pulling down 36.1 rebounds per contest.

Duke is sinking 7.1 treys per game (224th-ranked in college basketball). It has a 32.5% shooting percentage (253rd-ranked) from downtown. The Blue Devils have been shining in terms of defending against three-point shooting this year, ranking 22nd-best in the nation in treys allowed per game (5.4) and 13th-best in three-point percentage allowed (27.8%).

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What you need to know about the NC State Wolf Pack

The Wolf Pack score 79.5 points per game and give up 68.3, making them 43rd in college basketball offensively and 169th on defense. In 2022-23, NC State is 70th in college basketball in rebounds (35.2 per game) and 168th in rebounds allowed (30.9).

Beyond the arc, NC State is 44th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (9.1). It is 123rd in 3-point percentage at 35.1%. In 2022-23, the Wolf Pack are 64th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.1 per game) and 115th in defensive 3-point percentage (31.6%).

The Wolf Pack have a 3-5-2 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, NC State has gone over the total four times. NC State is scoring 76.6 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 2.9 fewer points than its average for the season (79.5). In their past 10 games, the Wolf Pack are ceding 69 points per game, 0.7 more points than their season average (68.3).

Duke vs. NC State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Duke, and we expect that NC State will cover the spread (Duke -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 144.5 points.

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How to bet Duke vs. NC State

You can bet on Duke vs. NC State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. NC State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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