Duke vs NC State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Tuesday, February 28, 2023

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The Duke Blue Devils (21-8, 12-6 ACC) will try to extend a four-game winning stretch when they host the NC State Wolf Pack (22-8, 12-7 ACC) at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 28, 2023 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The contest airs on ESPN.

Duke is a solid 6.5-point favorite against NC State when the Blue Devils face off against the Wolf Pack on Tuesday. The point total for the game is set at 145.

Duke vs. NC State Odds

Point Spread for Duke vs. NC State

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Duke as the favorite.

Duke vs. NC State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -283 odds to pick up the win, while NC State is listed at +226 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 145 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, February 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Durham, North Carolina
  • Arena: Cameron Indoor Stadium

Duke vs. NC State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Duke is 11-18-0 this season. The Blue Devils have been victorious in 20, or 80%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Duke’s games this year have hit the over 12 times in 30 opportunities (40%).

Against the spread, NC State is 14-14-2 this season. The Wolf Pack are 4-6 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40% of those games). NC State has eclipsed the over/under 53.3% of the time this season (16 of 30 games with a set point total).

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Duke vs. NC State Key Players to Watch


Kyle Filipowski posts 14.9 points and 8.9 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.6 assists, shooting 43.3% from the field and 28.6% from downtown with 1 made 3-pointers per contest. Jeremy Roach paces his squad in assists per contest (3.4), and also averages 13 points and 2.5 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0 blocked shots. Ryan Young posts 7.4 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.3 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Mark Mitchell averages 9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game, shooting 48.2% from the floor.

NC State

Jarkel Joiner gets the Wolf Pack 17 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. He also delivers 1.4 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. D.J. Burns paces the Wolf Pack in rebounding (5.1 per game), and produces 13.1 points and 1.6 assists. He also posts 0.7 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Casey Morsell gets the Wolf Pack 12.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1 assists per game. He also delivers 1.2 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

Duke has won five games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover 13 times. On offense, the Blue Devils are scoring 72.2 points per game (171st-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 63.9 points per contest at the other end (32nd-ranked). In terms of rebounding, everything is clicking for Duke, who is averaging 36 boards per game (14th-best in college basketball) and allowing 27.6 rebounds per contest (18th-best).

Offensively, the Blue Devils have played better at home this year, putting up 77.1 points per game, compared to 68.7 per game in away games. Duke is sinking 7 treys per game (225th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while owning a 33.6% three-point percentage (220th-ranked). With 6.2 threes conceded per game, the Blue Devils are 53rd in college basketball. They are ceding a 31.1% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 43rd in college basketball.

The Blue Devils are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 games. Five of Duke’s past 10 games have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Duke has been scoring 72.5 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 72.2 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Duke’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (64.7) is 0.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (63.9).

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What you need to know about the NC State Wolf Pack

NC State is 8-11-0 ATS in conference games this season. The Wolf Pack are 31st in the country in points scored (78.7 per game) and 193rd in points allowed (70.3). At 34.4 rebounds per game and 31.5 rebounds conceded, NC State is 45th and 204th in the nation, respectively.

At home the Wolf Pack are scoring 83.3 points per game, 11.1 more than they are averaging on the road (72.2). Beyond the arc, NC State is 63rd in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (8.5). It is 139th in 3-point percentage at 35.1%. In 2022-23, the Wolf Pack are 34th in the country in 3-pointers allowed (6 per game) and 93rd in defensive 3-point percentage (32.3%).

The Wolf Pack are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, NC State has hit the over six times. NC State is putting up 78.2 points per contest over its past 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer points than its average for the season (78.7). The Wolf Pack have played worse defensively in their previous 10 games, ceding 72.8 points per contest, 2.5 more points their than season average of 70.3.

Duke vs. NC State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Duke, and we predict that NC State will cover the spread (Duke -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 145 points.

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How to bet Duke vs. NC State

You can bet on Duke vs. NC State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. NC State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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