Duke vs Miami Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, January 21, 2023

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The Duke Blue Devils (13-5, 4-3 ACC) welcome in the Miami Hurricanes (15-3, 6-2 ACC) after victories in 10 straight home games. It begins at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 21, 2023.

The Blue Devils are currently 6-point favorites over the Hurricanes. The game has an over/under of 148.5.

Duke vs. Miami Odds

Point Spread for Duke vs. Miami

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing Duke as the favorite.

Duke vs. Miami Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -257 odds to pick up the win, while Miami is listed at +207 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 148.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 21, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: Durham, North Carolina
  • Arena: Cameron Indoor Stadium

Duke vs. Miami Betting Trends

In the Duke’s 18 games this season, it has seven wins against the spread. The Blue Devils have been favorites in 17 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (70.6%) in those contests. Duke’s games this year have hit the over on seven of 18 set point totals.

Miami is 10-8-0 against the spread this year. The Hurricanes have won one of the three games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (33.3%). Miami’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 44.4% of the time (eight out of 18 games with a set point total).

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Duke vs. Miami Key Players to Watch

Duke

Kyle Filipowski is tops on the Blue Devils with 14.9 points per contest and 9.2 rebounds, while also averaging 1.3 assists. Ryan Young averages 8.3 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 72.2% from the field. Mark Mitchell posts 9.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest, shooting 50.0% from the floor.
Jeremy Roach is tops on his team in assists per contest (3.2), and also posts 11.9 points and 2.5 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 1.1 steals and 0.0 blocked shots.

Miami

Norchad Omier tops the Hurricanes in rebounding (10.2 per game), and averages 14.0 points and 1.1 assists. He also posts 1.1 steals and 1.6 blocked shots. Jordan Miller gives the Hurricanes 14.8 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He also posts 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Nijel Pack is averaging 11.6 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, making 40.4% of his shots from the floor and 37.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per game.

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What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

With 72.2 points per game on offense, the Blue Devils rank 163rd in the nation. On defense, they allow 63.4 points per contest, which ranks 36th in college basketball. Duke is top-25 this year in rebounding, ranking 24th-best in college basketball with 36.4 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 26th with 27.8 rebounds allowed per contest.

When playing at home, the Blue Devils are putting up 15.4 more points per game (80.2) than they are away from home (64.8). This year, Duke is sinking 6.6 treys per game (265th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 31.0% (313th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Blue Devils are dominating in terms of defending against three-pointers, as they rank 23rd-best in college basketball in three-pointers allowed (5.6 per game) and 12th-best in three-point percentage allowed (28.4%).

The Blue Devils have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Duke has hit the over six times. Duke’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, scoring 73.4 points per contest compared to the 72.2 it has averaged this season. Duke’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (68.5) is 5.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (63.4).

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What you need to know about the Miami Hurricanes

The Hurricanes are 43rd in the nation in points scored (78.4 per game) and 203rd in points allowed (69.9). Miami grabs 31.9 rebounds per game and give up 30.0 boards, ranking 193rd and 119th, respectively, in college basketball.

At home, the Hurricanes score 81.3 points per game. On the road, they score 74.6. With 7.3 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 33.7% from downtown, Miami is 194th and 202nd in the nation, respectively, in those categories. Giving up 6.8 3-pointers per game and conceding 31.9% from downtown, the Hurricanes are 136th and 112th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

The Hurricanes are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their past 10 contests. Five of Miami’s last 10 games have gone over the total. While Miami is putting up 78.4 points per game in 2022-23, it has improved that mark over its past 10 games, producing 82.1 a contest. The Hurricanes are giving up 74.5 points per game over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 69.9 points allowed.

Duke vs. Miami Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Duke, and we predict that Miami will cover the spread (Duke -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 148.5 points.

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How to bet Duke vs. Miami

You can bet on Duke vs. Miami at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. Miami picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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