Duke vs Florida State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, December 31, 2022

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The Duke Blue Devils (10-3, 1-1 ACC) will be trying to continue an eight-game home winning streak when taking on the Florida State Seminoles (4-10, 2-1 ACC) on Saturday, December 31, 2022 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. It airs at 1:00 PM ET.

The Blue Devils are currently mammoth 16.5-point favorites against the Seminoles. The game’s over/under is 143.5.

Duke vs. Florida State Odds

Point Spread for Duke vs. Florida State

The spread for this matchup is set at 16.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Duke as the favorite.

Duke vs. Florida State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -1899 odds to pick up the win, while Florida State is listed at +979 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 143.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Durham, North Carolina
  • Arena: Cameron Indoor Stadium

Duke vs. Florida State Betting Trends

Duke has six wins against the spread in 13 games this year. The Blue Devils have been favorites in 12 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (75%) in those contests. Duke’s games this year have gone over the point total five times in 14 opportunities (35.7%).

Against the spread, Florida State is 6-8-0 this season. The Seminoles have won 14.3% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (1-6). Florida State’s games this year have gone over the point total 50% of the time (seven out of 14 games with a set point total).

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Duke vs. Florida State Key Players to Watch


Kyle Filipowski averages 14.4 points and 8.8 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.4 assists, shooting 41.8% from the floor and 29.2% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Jeremy Roach paces the Blue Devils at 3.4 assists per contest, while also putting up 2.4 rebounds and 12.8 points. Ryan Young is putting up 7.2 points, 1.2 assists and 6.8 rebounds per contest. Mark Mitchell puts up 9.8 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he posts 0.4 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Florida State

Matthew Cleveland is the Seminoles’ top scorer (13.7 points per game), and he averages 1.5 assists and 6.7 rebounds. The Seminoles receive 12.6 points, 2.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game from Caleb Mills. Darin Green Jr. is No. 1 on the Seminoles in scoring (13.7 points per game), and averages 3.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists. He also puts up 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Cam’Ron Fletcher is putting up a team-best 7.5 rebounds per game. And he is producing 10.8 points and 1.1 assists, making 39.4% of his shots from the floor and 33.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest.

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What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 14 times in Duke’s conference games. The Blue Devils have a top-25 defense this season, ranking 21st-best in college basketball with 60.4 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 170th with 72.9 points scored per contest. So far this year, Duke is grabbing 36.8 boards per game (31st-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 27.4 rebounds per contest (27th-ranked).

This year, Duke is draining 6.8 threes per game (251st-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 31.4% (293rd-ranked) from three-point land. The Blue Devils rank 17th-best in the nation by allowing a three-point shooting percentage of 27.8% to opposing teams. They rank 30th in college basketball by surrendering 5.5 three-pointers per contest.

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What you need to know about the Florida State Seminoles

In 2022-23, the Seminoles are 267th in the country offensively (68.7 points scored per game) and 285th on defense (73.2 points allowed). On the glass, Florida State is 327th in the country in rebounds (29.1 per game). It is 325th in rebounds allowed (34.4 per game).

Florida State makes 6.3 3-pointers per game and shoots 34.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 290th and 142nd, respectively, in the nation. The Seminoles give up 7.5 3-pointers per game and concede 33.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 223rd and 231st, respectively, in college basketball.

Duke vs. Florida State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Duke, and we predict that Florida State will cover the spread (Duke -16.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 143.5 points.

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How to bet Duke vs. Florida State

You can bet on Duke vs. Florida State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. Florida State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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