Drake vs Murray State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, March 3, 2023

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The No. seed Drake Bulldogs (24-7, 15-5 MVC) are taking on the No. seed Murray State Racers (17-14, 11-9 MVC) in the MVC Tournament on Friday at Enterprise Center. The contest is scheduled for 7:00 PM.

The Bulldogs are currently sizable 11-point favorites against the Racers. The game’s over/under is 141.

Drake vs. Murray State Odds

Point Spread for Drake vs. Murray State

The spread for this matchup is set at 11 points, with oddsmakers listing Drake as the favorite.

Drake vs. Murray State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Drake has -669 odds to pick up the win, while Murray State is listed at +463 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 141 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Arena: Enterprise Center

Drake vs. Murray State Betting Trends

In Drake’s 30 games this season, it has 13 wins against the spread. The Bulldogs have been victorious in 21, or 84%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Drake’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 15 times in 30 opportunities (50%).

Against the spread, Murray State is 13-16-1 this season. The Racers have compiled a 5-12 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 29.4% of those games). Murray State’s games this year have hit the over 60% of the time (18 out of 30 games with a set point total).

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Drake vs. Murray State Key Players to Watch


Tucker DeVries is tops on his team in both points (18.9) and assists (1.9) per game, and also puts up 5.6 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Roman Penn is tops on the Bulldogs at 5.3 assists per game, while also averaging 4.7 rebounds and 12.5 points. Garrett Sturtz posts 9.5 points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest, shooting 58.7% from the field. Darnell Brodie is tops on his squad in rebounds per game (7.1), and also averages 8.7 points and 1.1 assists. Defensively, he delivers 0.3 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.

Murray State

Jacobi Wood is the Racers’ top assist man (4.7 per game), and he contributes 10.8 points and 4.3 rebounds. Rob Perry paces the Racers in scoring (14.1 points per game), and produces 4.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists. He also puts up 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Damiree Burns is putting up a team-best 6.7 rebounds per game. And he is producing 8.8 points and 1.3 assists, making 56.2% of his shots from the field. Jamari Smith is averaging 11.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game, making 45% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Drake Bulldogs

Drake is 9-11-0 ATS in conference play this season. With 75.6 points per game on offense, the Bulldogs are 89th in college basketball. Defensively, they allow 64.8 points per contest, which ranks 38th in college basketball. Drake is grabbing 33.6 boards per game (77th-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 29.8 rebounds per contest (99th-ranked).

So far this season, Drake is draining 8.1 treys per game (98th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 36.8% (51st-ranked) from three-point land. The Bulldogs are 139th in college basketball with 6.9 treys allowed per game so far this year. Meanwhile, they rank 37th with a 31% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Bulldogs are 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 contests. Six of Drake’s last 10 contests have hit the over. Drake’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, racking up 79.1 points per contest compared to the 75.6 it has averaged this season. Drake’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (67.3) is 2.5 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (64.8).

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What you need to know about the Murray State Racers

Murray State has won 10 games against the spread this year in conference play, while failing to cover or pushing 11 times. The Racers score 70.7 points per game and give up 72, making them 202nd in the nation on offense and 241st defensively. Murray State collects 31.2 rebounds per game and give up 31.6 boards, ranking 218th and 212th, respectively, in college basketball.

Beyond the arc, Murray State is 296th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (6.3). It is 233rd in 3-point percentage at 33.4%. Giving up 8.3 3-pointers per game and conceding 33.4% from downtown, the Racers are 303rd and 154th in the country, respectively, in those categories.

The Racers have gone 6-4 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-5-1 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Murray State has gone over the total seven times. Murray State is posting 70.3 points per game over its past 10 games, which is 0.4 fewer points than its average for the season (70.7). The Racers have played worse defensively in their previous 10 games, giving up 77 points per contest, five more points their than season average of 72.

Drake vs. Murray State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Drake, and we project that Murray State will cover the spread (Drake -11). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 141 points.

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How to bet Drake vs. Murray State

You can bet on Drake vs. Murray State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Drake vs. Murray State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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