North Dakota vs Denver Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023

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The No. 9 seed North Dakota Fightin’ Hawks (12-19, 6-12 Summit) will head into the Summit Tournament against the No. 8 seed Denver Pioneers (15-16, 6-12 Summit) on Friday at Denny Sanford Premier Center, beginning at 7:00 PM.

North Dakota is a slight 1-point favorite against Denver when the Fightin’ Hawks square off against the Pioneers on Friday. The over/under is 149.5 points for the game.

North Dakota vs. Denver Odds

Point Spread for North Dakota vs. Denver

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing North Dakota as the favorite.

North Dakota vs. Denver Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Dakota has -117 odds to pick up the win, while Denver is listed at -103 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 149.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
  • Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center

North Dakota vs. Denver Betting Trends

North Dakota has played 29 games, with 15 wins against the spread. The Fightin’ Hawks have been favorites in four games this season and have come away with the win three times (75%) in those contests. North Dakota’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 19 times in 29 opportunities (65.5%).

In Denver’s 29 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread. The Pioneers have put together a 3-13 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 18.8% of those games). Denver has hit the over 69% of the time this season (20 of 29 games with a set point total).

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North Dakota vs. Denver Key Players to Watch

North Dakota

B.J. Omot leads his squad in both points (12) and assists (1.3) per contest, and also averages 3.8 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 0.4 steals and 1 block. Tsotne Tsartsidze is tops on his squad in rebounds per game (5.5), and also posts 10.9 points and 1.3 assists. Defensively, he puts up 0.5 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Matt Norman posts 11 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 43.9% from the floor and 42.6% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
Jalun Trent is tops on his team in assists per contest (2.5), and also averages 6.3 points and 4.2 rebounds. Defensively, he puts up 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.


Touko Tainamo is posting 10.8 points, 6.2 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest, making 53.1% of his shots from the floor. Lukas Kisunas gets the Pioneers 9.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.2 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Justin Mullins is posting 9.7 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest, making 51.4% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the North Dakota Fightin’ Hawks

In North Dakota’s 18 Summit games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 12 times. Offensively, the Fightin’ Hawks are putting up 71.5 points per game (182nd-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 73.4 points per contest on defense (280th-ranked). North Dakota ranks 225th in college basketball with 31.1 rebounds per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 284th with 32.7 rebounds allowed per contest.

With 9.1 threes per game, North Dakota is 31st in college basketball. It owns a 35% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 145th in college basketball. With 6.5 threes conceded per game, the Fightin’ Hawks are 85th in college basketball. They are ceding a 34.9% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 250th in college basketball.

The Fightin’ Hawks are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests. Nine of North Dakota’s last 10 outings have hit the over. In its last 10 games, North Dakota has been racking up 77.9 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 71.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. North Dakota’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 78.8 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 73.4 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Denver Pioneers

In Denver’s 18 chances this year in Summit action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 11 times. The Pioneers score 72.8 points per game and give up 74.8, ranking them 155th in the nation on offense and 309th defensively. In 2022-23, Denver is 163rd in college basketball in rebounds (32 per game) and 15th-best in rebounds conceded (27.3).

Beyond the arc, Denver is -1-worst in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (4.5). It is ranked 276th in 3-point percentage at 32.5%. The Pioneers give up 8.1 3-pointers per game and concede 33.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 284th and 154th, respectively, in college basketball.

The Pioneers have gone 3-7 over their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Denver has gone over the total in five of its past 10 games. Over its previous 10 games, Denver is averaging 67.9 points per contest, 4.9 fewer points than its season average (72.8). The Pioneers are giving up 73.3 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 1.5 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (74.8).

North Dakota vs. Denver Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is North Dakota, and we expect that Denver will cover the spread (North Dakota -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 149.5 points.

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How to bet North Dakota vs. Denver

You can bet on North Dakota vs. Denver at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Dakota vs. Denver picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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