Dayton vs Saint Louis Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023

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The Saint Louis Billikens (19-11, 11-6 A-10) aim to extend a four-game home winning run when hosting the Dayton Flyers (20-10, 12-5 A-10) on Friday, March 3, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET.

The Flyers take on the Billikens in a game that Dayton is currently a slim favorite by 1 points. A 137-point total has been set for the game.

Dayton vs. Saint Louis Odds

Point Spread for Dayton vs. Saint Louis

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing Dayton as the favorite.

Dayton vs. Saint Louis Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Dayton has -118 odds to pick up the win, while Saint Louis is listed at -102 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 137 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Arena: Chaifetz Arena

Dayton vs. Saint Louis Betting Trends

Dayton has played 30 games, with 15 wins against the spread. The Flyers have been favorites in 28 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (67.9%) in those contests. Dayton’s games this year have gone over the total in 11 out of 29 opportunities (37.9%).

Against the spread, Saint Louis is 12-17-0 this year. The Billikens have not yet won a game they played as the moneyline underdog this season, going 1-1. Saint Louis has gone over the point total 51.7% of the time this year (15 of 29 games with a set point total).

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Dayton vs. Saint Louis Key Players to Watch


Daron Holmes paces his squad in points per contest (18.2), and also averages 7.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists. At the other end, he delivers 0.7 steals and 1.8 blocked shots. Toumani Camara is tops on his squad in rebounds per game (8.7), and also averages 13.9 points and 1.7 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Mustapha Amzil averages 9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. At the other end, he puts up 0.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
Mike Sharavjamts leads his team in assists per game (2.7), and also puts up 6 points and 2 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 0.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Saint Louis

Yuri Collins is averaging a team-leading 10.1 assists per contest. And he is delivering 11.3 points and 3.3 rebounds, making 44% of his shots from the floor. Gibson Jimerson is putting up a team-high 14.2 points per game. And he is delivering 3.6 rebounds and 1 assists, making 44.6% of his shots from the field and 39.5% from 3-point range, with 2.6 treys per game. Francis Okoro tops the Billikens in rebounding (8.7 per game), and puts up 6.9 points and 0.8 assists. He also posts 0.6 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. Javon Pickett gives the Billikens 9.8 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He also posts 0.4 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Dayton Flyers

In Dayton’s 17 A-10 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times. The Flyers have a top-25 defense this season, ranking 11th-best in college basketball with 60.7 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 243rd with 69.3 points scored per contest. Dayton is grabbing 32.9 boards per game this season (111th-ranked in college basketball), and it has allowed just 27.2 rebounds per game (14th-best).

In home games, the Flyers are putting up nine more points per game (73.9) than they are away from home (64.9). Dayton is making 6.7 three-pointers per game (258th-ranked in college basketball). It has a 35% shooting percentage (145th-ranked) from three-point land. The Flyers are ceding 6.2 treys per game this season (52nd-ranked in college basketball), and they are allowing a 28.7% three-point percentage (sixth-best).

The Flyers have gone 7-3 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Dayton has hit the over four times. In its last 10 games, Dayton has been putting up 71.5 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 69.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Dayton has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 62.8 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 60.7 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Saint Louis Billikens

A total of nine Saint Louis conference games this year have hit the over. Offensively the Billikens are the 89th-ranked team in college basketball (75.6 points per game). On defense they are 222nd (71.4 points conceded per game). At 35.3 rebounds per game and 30.6 rebounds conceded, Saint Louis is 28th and 150th in college basketball, respectively.

At home, the Billikens average 78.9 points per game. On the road, they score 71.2. In 2022-23, Saint Louis is 223rd in the country in 3-point makes (7 per game) and 110th in 3-point percentage (35.5%). The Billikens give up 7.8 3-pointers per game and concede 33.6% from beyond the arc, ranking 251st and 167th, respectively, in the nation.

The Billikens are 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games. Saint Louis has hit the over in five of its past 10 games. While Saint Louis is posting 75.6 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its previous 10 games, producing 73 points per contest. The Billikens are surrendering 73.1 points per contest in their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 71.4 points allowed.

Dayton vs. Saint Louis Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Dayton, and we project that Saint Louis will cover the spread (Dayton -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137 points.

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How to bet Dayton vs. Saint Louis

You can bet on Dayton vs. Saint Louis at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dayton vs. Saint Louis picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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