Dayton vs Saint Joseph’s (PA) Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Dayton Flyers (20-11, 12-6 A-10) will hit the court in the A-10 Tournament against the No. 10 seed Saint Joseph’s (PA) Hawks (16-16, 8-10 A-10). The teams will face off Thursday at 5:00 PM live on USA.

Dayton is a substantial 10.5-point favorite against Saint Joseph’s (PA) when the Flyers face off with the Hawks on Thursday. The matchup’s over/under is 135.

Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) Odds

Point Spread for Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA)

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Dayton as the favorite.

Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Dayton has -595 odds to pick up the win, while Saint Joseph’s (PA) is listed at +434 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 135 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: USA
  • Location: Brooklyn, New York
  • Arena: Barclays Center

Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) Betting Trends

Against the spread, Dayton is 15-16-0 this year. The Flyers have been chosen as favorites in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (65.5%) in those games. Dayton has gone over the point total in 34.4% of its opportunities this year (11 times in 32 games with a set point total).

Saint Joseph’s (PA) is 19-12-1 against the spread this season. The Hawks have been the moneyline underdog 20 total times this season. They’ve gone 7-13 in those games. Saint Joseph’s (PA)’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 50% of the time (16 out of 32 games with a set point total).

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Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) Key Players to Watch


Daron Holmes paces his team in points per contest (18), and also averages 7.9 rebounds and 1.7 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.7 steals and 1.7 blocked shots. Toumani Camara is tops on the Flyers at 8.5 rebounds per contest, while also putting up 1.7 assists and 13.6 points. Mustapha Amzil is averaging 9.2 points, 1.7 assists and 4.7 rebounds per contest. Mike Sharavjamts posts a team-leading 2.6 assists per game. He is also posting 5.8 points and 1.9 rebounds, shooting 39.1% from the field.

Saint Joseph’s (PA)

Erik Reynolds II is the Hawks’ top scorer (19.7 points per game), and he produces 2.5 assists and 3.1 rebounds. Cameron Brown is the Hawks’ top rebounder (5.9 per game), and he delivers 13.6 points and 1.7 assists. Lynn Greer III is posting a team-best 4.1 assists per game. And he is contributing 12.6 points and 5.1 rebounds, making 41.3% of his shots from the field. The Hawks receive 7.9 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2 assists per game from Kacper Klaczek.

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What you need to know about the Dayton Flyers

Dayton’s A-10 games have gone over the point total six out of 18 times this season. The Flyers have been carried by their defense, as they rank 11th-best in the country by giving up only 60.8 points per game. They rank 250th in college basketball in points scored (69 per contest). Dayton is averaging 32.8 boards per game this year (112th-ranked in college basketball), and it has allowed just 27.6 rebounds per contest (20th-best).

Dayton ranks 259th in college basketball with 6.7 three-pointers per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 145th with a 34.9% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Flyers are surrendering 6.2 threes per game this year (51st-ranked in college basketball), and they are allowing a 28.8% three-point percentage (fifth-best).

The Flyers are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games. Three of Dayton’s last 10 games have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Dayton has been putting up 70.6 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 69 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Dayton’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (61.8) is one more point per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (60.8).

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What you need to know about the Saint Joseph’s (PA) Hawks

Saint Joseph’s (PA) has put together a 13-7-0 ATS record so far this season in conference play. In 2022-23, the Hawks are 153rd in the nation on offense (72.9 points scored per game) and 263rd on defense (72.8 points allowed). At 31.5 rebounds per game and 33.1 rebounds allowed, Saint Joseph’s (PA) is 195th and 304th in the country, respectively.

Beyond the arc, Saint Joseph’s (PA) is 44th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8.8). It is 239th in 3-point percentage at 33.1%. The Hawks give up 8.4 3-pointers per game and concede 34.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 316th and 209th, respectively, in the country.

The Hawks are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Saint Joseph’s (PA) has hit the over six times. Saint Joseph’s (PA) is posting 74.7 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 1.8 more than its average for the season (72.9). The Hawks are allowing 75.2 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 2.4 more points than they are allowing for the season (72.8).

Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Dayton, and we project that Saint Joseph’s (PA) will cover the spread (Dayton -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 135 points.

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How to bet Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA)

You can bet on Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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