Dayton vs Fordham Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Dayton Flyers (21-11, 12-6 A-10) play the No. 3 seed Fordham Rams (25-7, 12-6 A-10) in the A-10 Tournament Saturday at Barclays Center, beginning at 3:30 PM. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

The Flyers match up with the Rams in a game that Dayton is currently a favorite by 6 points. The game has a point total of 128.5.

Dayton vs. Fordham Odds

Point Spread for Dayton vs. Fordham

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing Dayton as the favorite.

Dayton vs. Fordham Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Dayton has -286 odds to pick up the win, while Fordham is listed at +232 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 128.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Brooklyn, New York
  • Arena: Barclays Center

Dayton vs. Fordham Betting Trends

Dayton has played 32 games, with 15 wins against the spread. The Flyers have been chosen as favorites in 30 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (66.7%) in those games. Dayton’s games this year have hit the over 34.4% of the time (11 out of 32 games with a set point total).

Fordham is 20-11-1 against the spread this year. The Rams have won 45.5% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (5-6). Fordham has eclipsed the over/under 56.2% of the time this season (18 of 32 games with a set point total).

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Dayton vs. Fordham Key Players to Watch


Daron Holmes registers a team-leading 18 points per game. He is also putting up 7.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists, shooting 59% from the field. Toumani Camara paces the Flyers at 8.8 rebounds per contest, while also posting 1.7 assists and 13.8 points. Mustapha Amzil is posting 9.1 points, 1.8 assists and 4.7 rebounds per contest. Koby Brea posts 7.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he delivers 0.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.


Khalid Moore leads the Rams in rebounding (6.7 per game), and produces 15.6 points and 1.8 assists. He also puts up 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Darius Quisenberry is No. 1 on the Rams in scoring (17.2 points per game) and assists (3.1), and posts 3.9 rebounds. He also delivers 1.2 steals and 0 blocked shots. Antrell Charlton leads the Rams in assists (3.6 per game), and puts up 7.4 points and 3.9 rebounds. He also posts 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Kyle Rose is averaging 7.4 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, making 35.7% of his shots from the field and 32% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per game.

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What you need to know about the Dayton Flyers

Dayton has compiled a 10-9-0 ATS record in conference games so far this year. The Flyers are scoring 68.8 points per game this year (253rd-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined defensively, ceding just 60.6 points per contest (ninth-best). With 27.8 rebounds allowed per game, Dayton is 22nd-best in college basketball. It ranks 102nd in college basketball by grabbing 33 boards per contest.

Dayton is sinking 6.8 threes per game (242nd-ranked in college basketball). It has a 34.7% shooting percentage (154th-ranked) from three-point land. The Flyers rank fourth-best in the country by allowing a three-point shooting percentage of 28.7% to opposing teams. They rank 63rd in college basketball by ceding 6.3 treys per contest.

The Flyers have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Dayton has hit the over twice. Dayton has been racking up 68 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 68.8 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Dayton has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 61.2 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 60.6 it has conceded this year.

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What you need to know about the Fordham Rams

In Fordham’s 19 chances this season in A-10 action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times. The Rams score 72.1 points per game and give up 67.3, making them 172nd in college basketball offensively and 96th defensively. At 34.6 rebounds per game and 30.4 rebounds conceded, Fordham is 42nd and 138th in college basketball, respectively.

Beyond the arc, Fordham is 154th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (7.6). It is 306th in 3-point percentage at 31.8%. Defensively, the Rams are 13th-best in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 5.4. They are 74th in 3-point percentage allowed at 32%.

The Rams are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Fordham has gone over the total six times. Over its past 10 games, Fordham is compiling 70.6 points per contest, compared to its season average of 72.1. The Rams have fared worse defensively over their past 10 games, giving up 67.4 points per contest, 0.1 more points their than season average of 67.3.

Dayton vs. Fordham Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Dayton, and we predict that Fordham will cover the spread (Dayton -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 128.5 points.

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How to bet Dayton vs. Fordham

You can bet on Dayton vs. Fordham at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dayton vs. Fordham picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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