Creighton vs Xavier Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Creighton Bluejays (21-11, 14-6 Big East) are squaring off against the No. 2 seed Xavier Musketeers (24-8, 15-5 Big East) in the Big East Tournament on Friday at Madison Square Garden. The contest is scheduled for 9:00 PM.

Friday’s game between the Bluejays and the Musketeers features the Bluejays as 3.5-point favorites. The game has a point total of 153.5.

Creighton vs. Xavier Odds

Point Spread for Creighton vs. Xavier

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Creighton as the favorite.

Creighton vs. Xavier Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Creighton has -170 odds to pick up the win, while Xavier is listed at +144 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 153.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

Creighton vs. Xavier Betting Trends

Creighton is 16-16-0 against the spread this year. The Bluejays have been victorious in 20, or 80%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Creighton has eclipsed the over/under in 46.9% of its opportunities this year (15 times over 32 games with a set point total).

In Xavier’s 32 games this year, it has 17 wins against the spread. The Musketeers have a 4-5 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.4% of those games). Xavier’s games this season have hit the over on 21 of 32 set point totals (65.6%).

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Creighton vs. Xavier Key Players to Watch


Baylor Scheierman puts up a team-high 8.4 rebounds per game. He is also posting 12.7 points and 3.3 assists, shooting 42.6% from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest. Ryan Kalkbrenner is tops on his team in points per contest (15.3), and also averages 6.2 rebounds and 1.2 assists. At the other end, he posts 0.6 steals and 2.2 blocked shots. Trey Alexander posts 13.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest, shooting 45.6% from the floor and 43.8% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game. Ryan Nembhard leads the Bluejays at 4.9 assists per contest, while also posting 4 rebounds and 12.1 points.


Jack Nunge paces the Musketeers in rebounding (7.8 per game), and produces 14.3 points and 2.1 assists. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 1.2 blocked shots. Colby Jones is the Musketeers’ top assist man (4.5 per game), and he produces 15.5 points and 5.3 rebounds. Souley Boum leads the Musketeers in scoring (16.8 points per game), and produces 4.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Zach Freemantle is putting up 15.2 points, 8.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game, making 58.5% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Creighton Bluejays

In Creighton’s 21 Big East games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times. The Bluejays are 53rd in the country with 77.2 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 122nd with 68.1 points allowed per game. So far this year, Creighton is averaging 35 boards per game (33rd-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 30.6 rebounds per contest (149th-ranked).

Creighton is draining 9 threes per game (35th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while sporting a 36.1% three-point percentage (76th-ranked). The Bluejays rank 75th in the nation with 6.4 three-pointers allowed per game this year. Meanwhile, they rank 188th with a 33.9% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Bluejays have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their past 10 games. Six of Creighton’s last 10 games have gone over the total. Creighton has seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 76.8 points per game in its last 10 outings, 0.4 points fewer than the 77.2 it has scored this season. Creighton’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (69.2) is 1.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.1).

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What you need to know about the Xavier Musketeers

So far this season, 12 out of Xavier’s 21 Big East games with an over/under have gone over the point total. The Musketeers are the ninth-best team in the nation in points scored (82.3 per game) and 309th in points conceded (74.8). On the glass, Xavier is 42nd in the nation in rebounds (34.5 per game). It is 55th in rebounds conceded (28.9 per game).

Xavier is 141st in the country in 3-pointers made (7.7 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage (40%). The Musketeers are 227th in the country in 3-pointers conceded (7.6 per game) and 325th in 3-point percentage defensively (36.4%).

The Musketeers have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. Xavier has hit the over in six of its last 10 outings. While Xavier is posting 82.3 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its previous 10 games, tallying 80.4 points per contest. While the Musketeers are allowing 74.8 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 72.3 points per contest.

Creighton vs. Xavier Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Creighton, and we expect that Xavier will cover the spread (Creighton -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 153.5 points.

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How to bet Creighton vs. Xavier

You can bet on Creighton vs. Xavier at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Creighton vs. Xavier picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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