Creighton vs Villanova Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Creighton Bluejays (20-11, 14-6 Big East) and the No. 6 seed Villanova Wildcats (17-15, 10-10 Big East) will look to move on in the Big East tournament on Thursday as they square off at 9:30 PM.

The Bluejays are currently 4.5-point favorites over the Wildcats. The game has a point total of 134.5.

Creighton vs. Villanova Odds

Point Spread for Creighton vs. Villanova

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Creighton as the favorite.

Creighton vs. Villanova Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Creighton has -199 odds to pick up the win, while Villanova is listed at +167 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 134.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

Creighton vs. Villanova Betting Trends

Creighton is 15-16-0 against the spread this year. The Bluejays have won in 19, or 79.2%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Creighton’s games this year have hit the over on 14 of 32 set point totals.

Villanova has played 32 games, with 14 wins, against the spread. The Wildcats have been the moneyline underdog 10 total times this season. They’ve finished 3-7 in those games. Villanova has eclipsed the over/under 46.9% of the time this year (15 of 32 games with a set point total).

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Creighton vs. Villanova Key Players to Watch


Baylor Scheierman leads his team in rebounds per game (8.3), and also puts up 12.7 points and 3.1 assists. At the other end, he delivers 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Ryan Kalkbrenner leads the Bluejays at 15.1 points per contest, while also putting up 1.3 assists and 6.3 rebounds. Trey Alexander averages 13.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.5 blocked shots. Ryan Nembhard averages a team-leading 4.9 assists per contest. He is also putting up 12 points and 4 rebounds, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 36% from downtown with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.


Eric Dixon is posting team highs in points (15.4 per game) and rebounds (6.4). And he is contributing 1.4 assists, making 50.1% of his shots from the floor and 38.4% from 3-point range, with 1.2 triples per game. Caleb Daniels is the Wildcats’ top assist man (2.6 per game), and he produces 14.4 points and 4.5 rebounds. The Wildcats receive 9.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Brandon Slater. Cam Whitmore is averaging 12.9 points, 5.3 rebounds and 0.7 assists per contest, making 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 35.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest.

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What you need to know about the Creighton Bluejays

Creighton has put together a 9-11-0 ATS record in conference action so far this year. With 76.8 points per game on offense, the Bluejays are 58th in the nation. On defense, they allow 67.9 points per contest, which ranks 117th in college basketball. This season, Creighton is averaging 35 rebounds per game (32nd-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 30.7 rebounds per contest (154th-ranked).

This year, Creighton is making 8.9 treys per game (39th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.8% (94th-ranked) from three-point land. So far this year, the Bluejays are giving up 6.2 three-pointers per game (51st-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 33.5% (166th-ranked) from downtown.

The Bluejays have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Five of Creighton’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Creighton has been racking up 74.4 points per contest in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 76.8 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. The past 10 games have seen Creighton allow 0.8 fewer points per game (67.1) than its season-long average (67.9).

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What you need to know about the Villanova Wildcats

Villanova’s conference games have gone over the point total eight out of 21 times this year. In 2022-23, the Wildcats are 220th in college basketball on offense (69.8 points scored per game) and 97th on defense (67.3 points conceded). In 2022-23, Villanova is 310th in college basketball in rebounds (29.1 per game) and 66th in rebounds allowed (29.2).

Villanova is 52nd in the nation in 3-pointers made (8.7 per game) and 208th in 3-point percentage (33.7%). Defensively, the Wildcats are 227th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded per game at 7.6. They are 139th in 3-point percentage conceded at 33.2%.

The Wildcats have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Villanova has gone over the total four times. While Villanova is averaging 69.8 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its previous 10 games, amassing 69.2 points per contest. The Wildcats have fared better defensively in their last 10 games, surrendering 64.1 points per contest, 3.2 fewer points than their season average of 67.3 allowed.

Creighton vs. Villanova Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Creighton, and we project that Creighton will cover the spread (Creighton -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 134.5 points.

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How to bet Creighton vs. Villanova

You can bet on Creighton vs. Villanova at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Creighton vs. Villanova picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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