Creighton vs San Diego State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 26, 2023

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The No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (30-6) hit the court for an NCAA Tournament Elite Eight matchup with the No. 6 seed Creighton Bluejays (24-12) on Sunday at KFC Yum! Center, airing on CBS starting at 2:20 PM, with the winner advancing to the Final Four from the South Region bracket.

Sunday’s matchup between the Bluejays and the Aztecs features the Bluejays as small 2.5-point favorites. The game’s point total is 134.5.

Creighton vs. San Diego State Odds

Point Spread for Creighton vs. San Diego State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Creighton as the favorite.

Creighton vs. San Diego State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Creighton has -147 odds to pick up the win, while San Diego State is listed at +123 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 134.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Louisville, Kentucky
  • Arena: KFC Yum! Center

Creighton vs. San Diego State Betting Trends

Creighton has played 36 games, with 19 wins against the spread. The Bluejays have been chosen as favorites in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (79.3%) in those games. Creighton’s games this year have hit the over on 17 of 35 set point totals.

San Diego State has 18 wins against the spread in 35 games this year. The Aztecs have won 50% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (2-2). San Diego State’s games this season have hit the over on 14 of 35 set point totals (40%).

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Creighton vs. San Diego State Key Players to Watch

Creighton

Baylor Scheierman is tops on the Bluejays at 8.3 rebounds per contest, while also averaging 3.3 assists and 12.8 points. Ryan Kalkbrenner posts a team-best 15.9 points per game. He is also averaging 6.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists, shooting 70.8% from the floor (second in the nation). Trey Alexander averages 13.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Defensively, he puts up 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
Ryan Nembhard paces his squad in assists per contest (4.9), and also puts up 12.3 points and 4 rebounds. Defensively, he posts 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

San Diego State

Matt Bradley tops the Aztecs in scoring (12.8 points per game), and produces 3.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists. He also posts 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Lamont Butler is the Aztecs’ top assist man (3.4 per game), and he averages 8.5 points and 2.7 rebounds. Darrion Trammell gets the Aztecs 9.8 points, 2.3 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Nathan Mensah leads the Aztecs in rebounding (5.9 per game), and posts 6.1 points and 0.6 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 1.6 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Creighton Bluejays

With 77 points per game on offense, the Bluejays rank 55th in the country. On defense, they surrender 68.7 points per contest, which ranks 136th in college basketball. This year, Creighton is grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game (40th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 30.6 rebounds per contest (143rd-ranked).

Creighton is draining 8.8 three-pointers per game (42nd-ranked in college basketball). It has a 35.8% shooting percentage (87th-ranked) from downtown. The Bluejays are allowing 6.3 threes per game (62nd-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 33.8% (186th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Bluejays have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 contests, Creighton has gone over the total six times. Creighton’s offense has been better over its last 10 games, putting up 78.8 points per contest compared to the 77 it has averaged this season. Creighton’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has given up 71.8 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 68.7 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the San Diego State Aztecs

On offense, the Aztecs are the 175th-ranked squad in college basketball (71.9 points per game). Defensively, they are 25th-best (63.1 points conceded per game). San Diego State grabs 33.3 rebounds per game and concede 28.4 boards, ranking 85th and 34th, respectively, in the nation.

Beyond the arc, San Diego State is 220th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (7). It is 138th in 3-point percentage at 34.9%. Defensively, the Aztecs are 62nd in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded per game at 6.3. They are third-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 28.3%.

The Aztecs have gone 9-1 over their past 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span. San Diego State has not gone over the total in its past 10 games. In its previous 10 games, San Diego State is tallying 67.6 points per contest, compared to its season average of 71.9. In their last 10 games, the Aztecs are ceding 58.5 points per contest, compared to their season average of 63.1 points allowed.

Creighton vs. San Diego State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is San Diego State, and we predict that San Diego State will cover the spread (Creighton -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 134.5 points.

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How to bet Creighton vs. San Diego State

You can bet on Creighton vs. San Diego State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Creighton vs. San Diego State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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