Creighton vs Baylor Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, March 19, 2023

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The No. 6 seed Creighton Bluejays (22-12) take on the No. 3 seed Baylor Bears (23-10) with a Sweet 16 spot in the South Region of the bracket up for grabs on Sunday at Ball Arena.

The Bluejays are currently slim 1-point favorites against the Bears. The over/under is 143.5 points for the matchup.

Creighton vs. Baylor Odds

Point Spread for Creighton vs. Baylor

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with oddsmakers listing Creighton as the favorite.

Creighton vs. Baylor Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Creighton has -118 odds to pick up the win, while Baylor is listed at -102 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 143.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Creighton vs. Baylor Betting Trends

Against the spread, Creighton is 17-17-0 this season. The Bluejays have been victorious in 21, or 77.8%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Creighton’s games this year have gone over the total in 15 out of 33 opportunities (45.5%).

Baylor has 17 wins against the spread in 33 games this season. The Bears have a 3-2 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games). Baylor’s games this season have hit the over on 17 of 33 set point totals (51.5%).

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Creighton vs. Baylor Key Players to Watch


Baylor Scheierman is tops on his squad in rebounds per game (8.3), and also posts 12.7 points and 3.3 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Ryan Kalkbrenner puts up a team-best 15.9 points per game. He is also averaging 6.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists, shooting 71.7% from the field (second in college basketball). Trey Alexander puts up 13.5 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
Ryan Nembhard is tops on his team in assists per contest (4.9), and also puts up 11.9 points and 4 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.


Keyonte George is posting team highs in points (15.6 per game) and assists (2.8). And he is producing 4.2 rebounds, making 38.3% of his shots from the field and 34.2% from 3-point range, with 2.4 treys per game. Jalen Bridges is the Bears’ top rebounder (5.6 per game), and he posts 10.2 points and 1.1 assists. LJ Cryer gives the Bears 14.5 points, 2.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He also posts 0.5 steals and 0 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Creighton Bluejays

So far this season, the Bluejays are posting 76.5 points per game (62nd-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 68.3 points per contest (127th-ranked). Creighton is pulling down 34.7 rebounds per game (40th-ranked in college basketball). It is allowing 31 rebounds per contest (171st-ranked).

With 8.7 threes per game, Creighton is 51st in college basketball. It has a 35.5% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 101st in college basketball. With 6.3 three-pointers conceded per game, the Bluejays are 64th in the nation. They are allowing a 33.9% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 193rd in college basketball.

The Bluejays have gone 6-4 in their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. Creighton has gone over the total in five of its last 10 outings. On the offensive side of the ball, Creighton has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 75.9 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 76.5 it has racked up over the course of this season. Creighton’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 71.4 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 68.3 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the Baylor Bears

The Bears put up 77.1 points per game and allow 69.8, ranking them 53rd in college basketball offensively and 167th defensively. Baylor grabs 30.1 rebounds per game and concede 29 boards, ranking 270th and 55th, respectively, in the nation.

Baylor is the 15th-best team in the nation in 3-pointers made (9.6 per game) and 35th in 3-point percentage (37.1%). The Bears are 127th in the country in 3-pointers conceded (6.8 per game) and 77th in 3-point percentage defensively (32%).

The Bears have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Baylor has gone over the total in five of its last 10 games. Baylor is putting up 72.8 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 4.3 fewer points than its average for the season (77.1). The Bears are allowing 71.6 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 1.8 more points than they are allowing for the season (69.8).

Creighton vs. Baylor Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Baylor, and we predict that Baylor will cover the spread (Creighton -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 143.5 points.

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How to bet Creighton vs. Baylor

You can bet on Creighton vs. Baylor at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Creighton vs. Baylor picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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